EUROPE: UEFA Nations League – A-League – Round 4
Germany’s Statistics
The German national team has shown strong attacking play in the first three matches, scoring a total of 9 goals and providing 5 assists. Deniz Undav has performed outstandingly, scoring 3 goals and registering 1 assist, highlighting his form. Additionally, Jamal Musiala has also performed excellently, but due to injury, he will not be available, which is a significant loss for the attack.
The German defense, led by Jonathan Tah and Antonio Rüdiger, appears stable, although they conceded two goals in the previous match against the Netherlands. This suggests that the defense might be vulnerable to speed-based attacks, like those led by Dutch attackers such as Cody Gakpo and Xavi Simons.
Statistics back up Germany’s defense: they have received 5 yellow cards so far and no red cards. This indicates a disciplined team, but this could change in response to Dutch attacks.
Netherlands’ Statistics
The Dutch team has scored 8 goals so far and registered 6 assists, showing that they can put serious pressure on their opponents. Denzel Dumfries and Tijjani Reijnders have particularly stood out, each with two goals and two assists in the previous matches. However, it’s important to note that Virgil van Dijk will not be playing due to suspension, which is a major blow to their defense.
Bart Verbruggen, the Dutch goalkeeper, has not been particularly impressive so far, with a save rate of 44.4%, which is relatively low at this level.
Expert Analysis
Expert analysis highlights that Germany-Netherlands matches are always tight, and past statistics suggest they often end in a draw. The previous encounter ended 2-2, and while Germany is playing at home, the Dutch have performed well away from home.
A positive for Germany is the form of Deniz Undav, who scored two goals in the last match and is expected to play a key role again. However, the Dutch defense, weakened by the absence of Van Dijk, could be vulnerable, especially against fast German attackers like Gnabry and Undav.
Betting Tips
Low-risk Tips
- Both teams to score – Low-risk Based on the statistics and expert analysis, both teams are capable of effective attacking play, and both scored in their previous encounter. Probability: 57.3%.
Odds: 1.56 – Safe Kelly: 3%
- Over 2.5 goals in the match – Low-risk Both teams have strong attacking power, and in recent matches, 3 or more goals were often scored. Probability: 54.24%.
Odds: 1.56 – Safe Kelly: 3%
Medium-risk Tip
- Germany to win – Medium-risk Given the home advantage and the Dutch defensive weaknesses, Germany is more likely to win, although the Dutch attack poses a risk. Probability: 43.27%.
Odds: 1.84 – Safe Kelly: 1%
This match is expected to be intense and high-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. Germany has the advantage of playing at home and the weakened Dutch defense makes them favorites to win, but the Dutch attacking strength suggests a close contest.