NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie – Round 22
Team and Player Statistical Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Analysis:
- Form: The team failed to win four of their last five matches, stepping onto the field after three losses and one draw.
- Attack: The team scored an average of 1.1 goals per match, with top scorer Ezequiel Bullaude leading with 7 goals. Kristoffer Peterson follows with 6 goals.
- Defense: The team has conceded many goals in recent weeks (13 goals conceded in the last four matches), indicating weak defense.
- Tactical Setup: They have mostly used 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 formations.
- Key Absences: Mattijs Branderhorst (goalkeeper), Samuel Bastien (midfielder), Onur Demir, and Kaj Sierhuis (forwards).
Ajax Analysis:
- Form: Ajax has won their last five Eredivisie matches and has conceded the fewest goals this season (18 goals in 20 matches).
- Attack: The team’s attacking game is effective, with Kenneth Taylor (10 goals) and Brian Brobbey (8 goals) leading the scoring charts.
- Defense: The team has a solid defense, but Jorrel Hato is suspended, which could be a vulnerability.
- Tactical Setup: Ajax almost always uses a 4-3-3 formation, dominating matches with it.
- Absences: Hato (suspension), Owen Wijndal, and Mika Godts (injuries).
Low-Risk Bet:
1️⃣ Ajax Win (51.84%)
- Ajax won their last 5 league matches, while Fortuna Sittard hasn’t won in 4 games.
- Sittard’s defense is weak (13 goals conceded in their last 4 games).
Odds: 1.50 – Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Bets:
2️⃣ Both Teams to Score (56.27%)
- Fortuna Sittard scores at least 1 goal in over 68% of their home games.
- However, Ajax could dominate, making this one of the safer bets.
Odds: 1.74 – Kelly: 1%
3️⃣ Ajax Win and Both Teams to Score
- Fortuna Sittard is capable of scoring at home, but Ajax is the better team.
Odds: 2.95 – Kelly: 0.5%
Surprising Stats and Insights:
- Fortuna Sittard hasn’t won any of their last 10 matches against Ajax.
- Ajax often takes the lead within the first 30 minutes of their matches.
- Fortuna Sittard was better in the first half of the season but is currently in poor form.
- Kenneth Taylor scored 4 of his 10 goals after the 80th minute, making a bet on a late goal interesting.
Final Summary and Tip:
📌 Safest Bet: Ajax to win
📌 Alternative Bet: Both teams to score
📌 Interesting Option: Kenneth Taylor to score
All data and form suggest that Ajax is the favorite, but Fortuna Sittard might manage a goal at home. Ajax’s attacking power and stability could be key to securing victory.