Analysis
Fiorentina has a strong team and performs particularly well at home. However, the absence of Moise Kean could significantly impact their attacking game. Meanwhile, Lecce struggles away from home, and their weak attacking line could further complicate things for them. Fiorentina’s recent performances have been mixed, but they often dominate possession and can capitalize on their chances.
Recommendations
Low Risk
- Fiorentina Win: Fiorentina has a 56.26% probability of winning, based on their stronger home performance and Lecce’s poor away record.
- Under 3.5 Goals: The match is expected to see few goals as neither team currently boasts an outstanding attacking game. The probability is 74.07%.
Medium Risk
- Fiorentina to Win 1-0: A likely scenario, as Fiorentina can take the lead and maintain their advantage. This has a 12.81% probability.
- Lecce Not to Score: Lecce’s attacking line is especially weak, making it unlikely they will score (41.08% probability). Their recent poor performances back this up.
Interesting Facts
Fiorentina boasts the third-highest shooting efficiency in the Italian league, with a 13.2% conversion rate, while Lecce has the worst at just 5.9%. This significant difference could impact the outcome of the match.