EUROPE: Europa League – Play Off – Round of 32
📊 Match Analysis
🔥 Team Statistics and Trends
Fenerbahce
- Form (All Competitions): WDWDWW (unbeaten in 6 matches)
- Europa League Form: DLWLDD (winless in the last three EL matches)
- Home Strength: 8 wins in the last 10 home games
- Attacking Efficiency: Average of 1.5-2 goals/match
- Defense: Several key players injured (Livakovic, Becao, Djiku, Soyuncu)
- Playing Style: High ball possession (usually 50-60%) but vulnerable defense
Anderlecht
- Form (All Competitions): WLWLLW
- Europa League Form: WDDWLL
- Away Performance: 7 points from 4 EL away games (1 loss)
- Attacking Efficiency: 1.5 goals/match
- Playing Style: More defensive, relying on counterattacks, less dominant ball possession (40-50%)
- Important Stat: There is a 76.49% chance they won’t score 2 goals in a match
🎯 Key Player Statistics
- Fenerbahce’s Most Dangerous Players:
- Youssef En-Nesyri (14 goals in the last 11 matches, close to club record for EL goals)
- Dušan Tadić (1 goal in 8 EL appearances, key playmaker role)
- Szymański (2 assists in EL, creative midfielder)
- Anderlecht’s Key Players:
- Kasper Dolberg (goal threat, scored 2 goals in his last match)
- Dendoncker (defensive midfielder, provides stability)
- Coosemans (goalkeeper) (average of 1.1 goals conceded per EL game)
✅ Low-Risk Tip
- Fenerbahce Win (1X2)
- Chance: 64.42%
- Reasoning: Strong home form (8/10 wins), Anderlecht struggle away, Mourinho’s experience could be decisive.
Odds: 1.64 – Kelly: 2%
⚖ Medium-Risk Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)
- Chance: 52.77%
- Reasoning: Anderlecht score in 60% of their away games, Fenerbahce’s defense is weakened due to absences.
Odds: 1.74 – Kelly: 1%
- Fenerbahce Over 1.5 Goals
- Chance: 61.91%
- Reasoning: They’ve scored 2+ goals in their last 3 home games.
Odds: 1.60 – Kelly: 1%
📌 Interesting Facts and Surprising Stats
- Fenerbahce have lost 4 out of the last 6 opening matches in European ties! Mourinho’s experience could be crucial in reversing this trend.
- Anderlecht have never scored at Sukru Saracoglu Stadium – they lost 2-0 in 2018.
- Fenerbahce are winless in their last 3 EL matches, but are very strong at home.
- En-Nesyri is 1 goal away from equaling the club record for goals in a single EL season – likely to be highly motivated.
🔮 Conclusion
Based on statistical data and analysis, Fenerbahce is the favored team. They are strong at home, whereas Anderlecht’s away performance is inconsistent. The safest bet is a Fenerbahce win. Among medium-risk tips, the both teams to score (BTTS) and Fenerbahce 2+ goals options are worth considering.