England – Slovakia

European Championship Round of 16, 2024.06.30

Detailed Analysis

Match Background and Motivation: This analysis is based on the England-Slovakia match in the Round of 16 of the 2024 European Championship. Both teams performed well in the group stage, with England finishing first and Slovakia second. England aims not only to progress but to ultimately win the championship, while Slovakia seeks to surprise and advance as far as possible.

England Statistics:

1. Attacking Statistics: Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham are the most dangerous attackers, each scoring one goal so far. Kane has taken the most shots (8), hitting the target 3 times (37.5% accuracy). Bellingham has also been effective in front of goal but has underperformed based on his expected goals (xG).
2. Defense and Goalkeeping Performance: Jordan Pickford has one of the best save rates in the group stage at 88.9%, conceding only one goal. The defense appears solid, especially with John Stones and Kyle Walker playing key roles.
3. Passing Game: The team plays with outstanding passing accuracy (88.1%), with Kyle Walker and Declan Rice crucial in bringing the ball out and building attacks.
4. Injuries and Expected Lineup: The team is preparing with a full squad, with Kane, Saka, and Bellingham expected to feature prominently.

Slovakia Statistics:

1. Attacking Statistics: Ivan Schranz and Ondrej Duda have been the best in attack, with Schranz scoring 2 goals and Duda contributing 1 goal and 1 assist. The team has underperformed based on their xG.
2. Defense and Goalkeeping Performance: Martin Dúbravka has also performed well with an 85.7% save rate, though he has conceded 3 goals. The defense, led by Milan Škriniar and Denis Vavro, has shown stability.
3. Passing Game: Slovakia’s passing accuracy is 81.1%, falling short of England’s performance. Lobotka and Škriniar are the most active in bringing the ball out.
4. Injuries and Expected Lineup: Slovakia is also preparing with a full squad, with Schranz and Duda expected to play key roles.

Low and Medium Risk Tips

Low-Risk Tips:

1. England to advance (low risk), England to win in regular time (low, but slightly higher risk): England is expecting the match with a stronger team and better form. Additionally, playing at home gives them an extra advantage.
2. Less than 3.5 goals (low risk), Less than 2.5 goals (medium risk): Both teams have strong defenses, and their matches so far have seen few goals (England 3, Slovakia 3 goals in total over 3 matches).

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. England more than 4.5 corners (medium risk): England will dominate the match, leading to more attacks and therefore more corners.
2. Jude Bellingham assist (medium risk): Bellingham performs well in building attacks and is likely to provide an assist.

Summary

Based on the analysis, England is the favorite to advance due to their better form and stronger squad. The match is likely to be close, with few goals, but England has the edge. It’s important to consider statistical indicators and team motivation, which also favor England. The suggested tips offer opportunities for successful betting with low and medium risk.