ENGLAND: Premier League – Matchday 23
Analysis
Crystal Palace Team Statistics
- Defense: Crystal Palace’s defense has been solid, conceding 28 goals in 22 matches, which averages to 1.27 goals per match.
- Attack: Their attacking play has been weaker, with only 25 goals scored, averaging 1.14 goals per match.
- Home performance: They’ve only scored 10 goals at home, placing them in the lower region of the Premier League based on home performance.
Brentford Team Statistics
- Attack: Brentford’s attack is strong, having scored 40 goals this season. Key players: Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa, both of whom have reached double digits in goals.
- Away performance: They have only one away win, showing poor form. The only win was a 5-0 victory against Southampton.
Player Statistics
- Crystal Palace Key Players:
- Marc Guéhi: Reliable in defense.
- Eberechi Eze: A creative player who is capable of scoring and assisting.
- Brentford Key Players:
- Yoane Wissa: A goal-scoring threat who can be dangerous.
- Christian Nørgaard: An influential presence in midfield.
Trend Observations
- Crystal Palace is unbeaten in their last six matches, while Brentford has shown weaker form with only one win in their last nine.
- The head-to-head matches have been mostly draws: five of the last seven encounters ended in a draw.
Low-Risk Tip
- Under 3.5 Goals
- Explanation: Crystal Palace matches usually have fewer goals. The probability is about 66%.
- Suggested Bet: Under 3.5 goals.
Odds: 1.49 – Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tips
- Both Teams to Score – Yes
- Explanation: Despite Crystal Palace’s solid defense, Brentford’s attacking strength suggests that both teams are likely to score. The probability is about 58%.
- Suggested Bet: Both teams to score.
Odds: 1.59 – Kelly: 1%
- Draw
- Explanation: Based on their head-to-head history and current form, the likelihood of a draw is 24%. A 1-1 result is one of the most probable outcomes.
Odds: 3.75 – Kelly: 1%
Interesting Observations
- Home Scoring Issues: Crystal Palace has only scored 10 goals at home, one of the lowest in the Premier League.
- Brentford Away Form: Despite their poor away form, they performed exceptionally well against Southampton.
- Contrast in Players: While Brentford’s players are strong in attack, Crystal Palace relies heavily on defense.