Colombia – Paraguay

Copa America

When analyzing the match between Colombia and Paraguay, several factors must be considered, including statistical data and expert analysis. Statistical data carries more weight, but the context provided by experts can help better understand the data.

Statistical Data Analysis

Colombia:

• Colombia is unbeaten in their last 23 matches, with their last defeat occurring in February 2022 against Argentina.
• So far in 2024, they have won all their matches (4 wins), scoring a total of 12 goals and conceding 3.
• Jhon Arias is the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, Luis Díaz has 2 goals and 2 assists, and James Rodríguez has 1 goal and 2 assists.
• Colombia has generally played in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which has provided stable defense and effective attack.
• In their last 6 matches, Colombia has never fallen behind, and whenever they took the lead, they always won.

Paraguay:

• Paraguay’s form is mixed, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 3 matches.
• They struggle with attacking efficiency, failing to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
• Their defense is strong, conceding one or fewer goals in 9 of their last 10 matches.
• Gustavo Velásquez is their only scorer in 2024.

Expert Analysis

Experts highlight that Colombia is confident and in excellent form, particularly being unbeaten in 23 matches. Additionally, they have won each of their last three Copa America opening matches, including their recent victory against Paraguay (1-0 in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers).

Paraguay, on the other hand, relies on their strong defense to offset their attacking weaknesses. Daniel Garnero, Paraguay’s coach, focuses on deep defense and counter-attacks, resulting in conceding one or fewer goals in 9 of their last 10 matches.

Tip Classification (Low and Medium Risk)

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Colombia to Win – Given Colombia’s form and unbeaten streak, they are likely to continue their winning run. (Low risk)
2. Under 3.5 Goals in the Match – Paraguay’s strong defense and Colombia’s stable defense. (Low risk)
3. Colombia to Score First – Colombia has consistently scored first in their recent matches, making it likely they will do so again. (Low risk)

Medium-Risk Tips: 4. Luis Díaz to Score – Díaz is in good form and is likely to play a significant role in the attacks. (Medium risk)

Detailed Analysis and Interesting Facts

• The efficiency of Colombia’s attacking lineup is outstanding, especially with contributions from Jhon Arias and Luis Díaz, who regularly contribute with goals and assists.
• Despite Paraguay’s strong defense, they struggle to find scoring opportunities and rely mainly on counter-attacks.
• Colombia’s coach, Nestor Lorenzo, has developed a stable and effective playing system, evidenced by the team’s excellent form and winning streak.
• Paraguay is motivated to break Colombia’s unbeaten streak and achieve a good result in the first group match, which is crucial for advancing.

Summary

Based on Colombia’s form and statistical indicators, they are likely to win the match. Their defense is stable, and their attacking lineup is efficient, while Paraguay relies mainly on their defense and struggles to find scoring opportunities. Low-risk tips include a Colombia win, under 3.5 goals in the match, and Colombia to score first.