Bangladesh – Australia

06/06/2024, World Cup qualification

Detailed Analysis and Forecast

Today’s match between Bangladesh and Australia will clearly pit two teams of different levels against each other. Below, I will analyse in detail the stats of both teams and the opinions of the experts to determine which picks might be low to medium risk for a bettor.

Statistical Analysis

Statistics of Bangladesh:

• Bangladesh have drawn one and lost five of their six matches so far in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers.
• The team scored only 4 goals and conceded 16, showing a poor offensive and defensive performance.
• Goalkeeper Mitul Marma has 5.4 games played and a 0% goals-against average.
• In the attacking line, Md Foysal Ahmed Fahim and Rakib Hossain both scored 1-1 goals, but attacking efficiency was low.

Statistics Australia:

• Australia won all four of their qualifying matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding none.
• The team scored 3.75 goals per game, while the defence was flawless.
• Goalkeeper Mathew Ryan has played in all four games and has a 100% goals-against record.
• In attack, Jamie Maclaren scored 3 goals, while Craig Goodwin and Mitchell Duke were also on target.

Expert Analysis

Bangladesh:

• The team is in poor form and has little chance of winning against Australia.
• Key defensive player Topu Barman and Rakib Hossain are available in attack, but the team’s overall performance is poor.
• The team’s goal is to avoid a heavy defeat, which is a realistic target based on their ranking and performance.

Australia:

• Australia have already secured their progression, so it is likely that some key players will be rested.
• Mathew Ryan will be replaced in goal by Joe Gauci, and some new players are expected to get a chance, such as Nestory Irankunda and Daniel Arzani.
• The team’s aim is to increase their lead and continue their unbeaten run in the qualifiers.

Low and Medium Risk Tip Offers

1. Australia win (Low risk):

• Based on Australia’s performance so far and the quality difference between the two teams, they are clear favourites to win. Bangladesh’s poor form and defence also confirms this prediction.

1. Australia scores more than 2.5 goals (Medium risk):

• Australia are averaging 3.75 goals per match so far and Bangladesh’s defence is weak. Although some key players may be rested, the attacking line-up remains strong and more goals are expected from them.

1. Bangladesh does not score (Low risk):

• Bangladesh have only scored 4 goals in six matches so far and Australia have yet to concede in qualifying. Based on the statistics, it is unlikely that Bangladesh will score.

Summary

Australia are in strong form and have put in a dominant performance in qualifying, while Bangladesh are struggling to score goals and defend. The recommended picks are low to medium risk, considering the current form and statistical indicators of both teams. Both expert analysis and statistics suggest that Australia are highly likely to win the match and score more goals, while Bangladesh are unlikely to score.