EUROPE: Europa League – Play Off – Round of 32
Teams’ Overall Performance in the Europa League
AZ Alkmaar
- Record (Europa League): 3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Goals For (GF): 10
- Goals Against (GA): 12
- xG (expected goals): 10.5
- xGA (expected goals against): 12.8
- Average Possession: 48%
- Home Performance: Strong, having lost only two of their last 35 home matches (23 wins, 10 draws).
Galatasaray
- Record (Europa League): 3 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss
- Goals For (GF): 19 (the highest in the entire field)
- Goals Against (GA): 16
- xG (expected goals): 18.3
- xGA (expected goals against): 14.2
- Average Possession: 60%
- Away Performance: Didn’t win any of their last six visits to the Netherlands.
Key Player Statistics
AZ Alkmaar Key Players
- Troy Parrott (forward): 16 goals in all competitions, 2 goals in his last two EL matches.
- Sven Mijnans (midfielder): 3 goals, 1 assist in EL, crucial in the attacks.
- Peer Koopmeiners (midfielder): Defensive stability, 31 interceptions in EL.
- Jordy Clasie (captain): 7.2 average performance index, important midfield connector.
Galatasaray Key Players
- Yunus Akgün (attacker): 5 goals in EL, one of the team’s top scorers.
- Dries Mertens (midfielder): 1 goal, 4 assists, creative in attacks.
- Davinson Sánchez (defender): 69% aerial duel win rate, strong in defense.
- Abdülkerim Bardakcı (defender): 53.6% aerial duel win rate, solid defense.
Strengths and Weaknesses
AZ Alkmaar Strengths
✅ Strong home performance
✅ Organized midfield defense
✅ Effective pressing, lots of ball recoveries
AZ Alkmaar Weaknesses
❌ Less effective attacks against stronger opponents
❌ More goals conceded than expected
Galatasaray Strengths
✅ High possession, attacking playstyle
✅ Highly effective attacking lineup
✅ Strong at set-pieces
Galatasaray Weaknesses
❌ Weak defense, many goals conceded
❌ Particularly poor away performance in the Netherlands
Low-Risk Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes) – 61% probability
→ Galatasaray scored in every EL game and conceded a lot too. AZ Alkmaar has a strong home record.
Odds: 1.53 – Kelly: 2%
- Over 2.5 Goals – 59.7% probability
→ Galatasaray’s EL matches averaged 4.3 goals, while AZ Alkmaar also sees a lot of goals in their games.
Odds: 1.63 – Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tip
- Over 4.5 Cards
→ High stakes, and both teams tend to play tough football.
Odds: 1.53 – Kelly: 1%
Interesting Statistical Findings
📌 Galatasaray scored 19 goals in the EL, the most in the field.
📌 Galatasaray hasn’t won their last 6 matches in the Netherlands.
📌 AZ Alkmaar lost only 2 of their last 35 home games.
📌 Mertens and Akgün can be key players in the Turkish attacks.
📌 Troy Parrott is in top form among AZ’s attackers.
Summary
- AZ Alkmaar is favored to win, but Galatasaray could surprise.
- Goals are expected from both sides.
- For betting, BTTS and over 2.5 goals markets are the safest.
- The number of yellow cards might also be high.