SPAIN: LaLiga – Round 5, September 15, 2024
Atletico Madrid Statistics and Form:
Atletico Madrid has been performing relatively well this season. Their recent matches, including a 2-0 victory against Granada and a close loss against Rosenborg, show that Atletico Madrid’s attacking power is functioning, but their defense is also stable. In the attacking line, key players like Gio Garbelini, who has scored one goal in recent matches, and Rasheedat Ajibade, who has contributed to the team’s success with assists, have been crucial. Goalkeeper Dolores Gallardo also performed outstandingly against Granada, achieving a 100% save rate.
xG and Defensive Statistics: Atletico Madrid showed stable offensive play based on xG indicators (1.9 xG in their last game), while their defense (0.7 xGA) was also reliable. This suggests they can dominate matches and minimize opponents’ chances.
Valencia Statistics and Form:
Valencia’s start to the season has been weaker. Of their last four games, three were losses (e.g., 1-2 against Barcelona) and one was a draw against Villarreal (1-1), indicating that their defense is vulnerable, with 7 goals conceded in their first four matches. Their attack has also been inconsistent, though Hugo Duro and Diego López managed to score, but the team’s offense is often inefficient.
xG and Defense: Valencia’s xGA (3.2 against Barcelona) shows that they tend to allow many chances for their opponents, while their xG indicators (averaging 1.1) are low, signaling weak offensive efficiency. Goalkeeper Mamardashvili, with a 64.7% save rate, has shown average form.
Low-Risk Bet Builder Tip:
- Atletico Madrid win + over 1.5 goals
- Atletico’s attack has been effective in the first round, and Valencia’s defense has shown significant weaknesses. Therefore, there is a chance Atletico will score at least 2 goals.
Odds: 1.65 – Safe Kelly: 4%