SPAIN: Supercup – Semi-finals
Team Statistics Comparison
- Athletic Bilbao:
- Their current form is strong, remaining unbeaten in their last 15 matches, with 6 wins from their 10 league games.
- In their recent matches, defense has dominated, including a 0-0 draw against Logroñés in a cup match after 120 minutes.
- Their average possession is 62%, which suggests a stable attacking game.
- Barcelona:
- From their last 7 league games, they have only won one, showing a significant drop in form compared to their season-opening 11/12 win ratio.
- They comfortably won against lower-league Barbastro (4-0), but their weaker performance against tougher opponents remains a concern.
- Their possession is impressive (75%), which could put significant pressure on Athletic’s defense.
Player Statistics Comparison
- Athletic Players:
- Nico Williams is a standout creative player, averaging more crosses and chances created.
- Their midfield defense is solid, with strong positioning according to the Interceptions (INT) metric.
- However, their goal-scoring record is weak; they had a scoreless draw in the cup match.
- Barcelona Players:
- Robert Lewandowski is the top scorer, having scored more goals than all of Athletic’s top attackers combined.
- The midfield duo of Pedri and Gavi provides creative play, with many key passes and chances created.
- However, there are uncertainties in defense, as evidenced by their recent defeats.
Surprises and Highlights
- Expert analysis suggests Athletic Bilbao has won 7/9 of their recent matches in regular time, while Barcelona has struggled against stronger opponents.
- Valverde’s rotation at Athletic could be an advantage, while Barcelona is facing problems due to injuries and registration issues.
Low-Risk Tip:
- Under 3.5 Goals:
- Explanation: Both teams have relatively strong defenses, and Barcelona has been struggling in attack recently.
- Probability: 74.48%.
Odds: 1.47 – Kelly: 3%
Medium-Risk Tip:
- Barcelona Over 4.5 Corners:
- Explanation: Their high possession rate could lead to many attacks, resulting in corners.
- Probability: 67%.
Odds: 1.56 – Kelly: 1%
Suggestions
- Consider Key Match Statistics: Yellow cards, corners, and possession could be interesting alternatives to betting on the match outcome.
- Live Betting Opportunities: It’s worth observing the first 15 minutes’ statistics for dynamics.
Summary:
The match is expected to be tight, but Athletic Bilbao’s current form and home advantage may give them the upper hand. Barcelona’s tough period could result in more surprises during the match.