Argentina – Canada

Copa America

Match Preview and Detailed Analysis

Argentina’s Statistics

Argentina has been in excellent form in 2024, winning 13 of their last 14 matches and losing only one. Their results in friendly matches have been convincing, as they defeated El Salvador 3-0, Costa Rica 3-1, Ecuador 1-0, and Guatemala 4-1.

Key Players and Their Performance

• Lionel Messi: Played 125 minutes in two matches and scored 2 goals, averaging 1.44 goals per match.
• Lautaro Martínez: Scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 231 minutes over four matches.
• Ángel Di María: Scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in 255 minutes over four matches.
• Cristian Romero and Enzo Fernández: Each contributed 1 goal to the team’s success.

Defensive Performance

• Emiliano Martínez: Played in three matches and conceded only one goal, with a 33.3% clean sheet rate.

Canada’s Statistics

Canada has shown mixed performances in 2024, as they lost 0-4 to the Netherlands and then drew 0-0 with France in their most recent friendly matches.

Key Players and Their Performance

• Jonathan David and Alphonso Davies: Both played in two matches but did not score any goals.
• Moïse Bombito and Alistair Johnston: Played important roles in defense, but the team conceded 4 goals in two matches.
• Stephen Eustáquio: Played a crucial role in midfield, with 160 minutes over two matches.

Defensive Performance

• Maxime Crépeau: Kept a clean sheet against France in one match, while Dayne St. Clair conceded 4 goals against the Netherlands.

Human Analysis Summary

The analysis suggests that Argentina comes into the tournament with high confidence, while Canada is less experienced on the international stage. Based on Argentina’s past successes and current form, they are considered favorites for the match. Canada’s new coach, Jesse Marsch, is still looking for the team’s best form.

Tactical Analysis and Possible Lineups

Argentina’s Possible Starting Lineup:

• Goalkeeper: E. Martínez
• Defenders: Molina, Romero, Otamendi, Acuña
• Midfielders: Mac Allister, Paredes, De Paul
• Forwards: Messi, González, Álvarez

Canada’s Possible Starting Lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Crépeau
• Defenders: Johnston, Bombito, Cornelius, Davies
• Midfielders: Buchanan, Eustaquio, Kone, Millar
• Forwards: David, Larin

Betting Tips Analysis

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Argentina Win (Low Risk): Based on Argentina’s form and the abilities of their players, they are expected to win the match. Although Canada is improving, they are not yet at Argentina’s level.
2. Lionel Messi to Score (Low Risk): Messi is in excellent form and is likely to score, especially in such an important tournament.
3. Canada Under 1.5 Goals (Low Risk): Canada’s attacking play has not been convincing so far, and they are unlikely to score many goals against a well-defending Argentina.

Conclusion

Argentina is expected to dominate the match, considering their current form and the abilities of their players. While Canada is improving, they are not yet strong enough to pose a serious threat to the title defenders. In terms of betting, Argentina’s victory, Messi’s goal, and Canada’s low goal count seem to be the safest bets.