Fenerbahce – Anderlecht

EUROPE: Europa League – Play Off – Round of 32

📊 Match Analysis

🔥 Team Statistics and Trends

Fenerbahce

• Form (All Competitions): WDWDWW (unbeaten in 6 matches)
• Europa League Form: DLWLDD (winless in the last three EL matches)
• Home Strength: 8 wins in the last 10 home games
• Attacking Efficiency: Average of 1.5-2 goals/match
• Defense: Several key players injured (Livakovic, Becao, Djiku, Soyuncu)
• Playing Style: High ball possession (usually 50-60%) but vulnerable defense

Anderlecht

• Form (All Competitions): WLWLLW
• Europa League Form: WDDWLL
• Away Performance: 7 points from 4 EL away games (1 loss)
• Attacking Efficiency: 1.5 goals/match
• Playing Style: More defensive, relying on counterattacks, less dominant ball possession (40-50%)
• Important Stat: There is a 76.49% chance they won’t score 2 goals in a match

🎯 Key Player Statistics

• Fenerbahce’s Most Dangerous Players:
• Youssef En-Nesyri (14 goals in the last 11 matches, close to club record for EL goals)
• Dušan Tadić (1 goal in 8 EL appearances, key playmaker role)
• Szymański (2 assists in EL, creative midfielder)
• Anderlecht’s Key Players:
• Kasper Dolberg (goal threat, scored 2 goals in his last match)
• Dendoncker (defensive midfielder, provides stability)
• Coosemans (goalkeeper) (average of 1.1 goals conceded per EL game)

✅ Low-Risk Tip

1. Fenerbahce Win (1X2)

• Chance: 64.42%
• Reasoning: Strong home form (8/10 wins), Anderlecht struggle away, Mourinho’s experience could be decisive.

Odds: 1.64 – Kelly: 2%

⚖ Medium-Risk Tips

2. Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)

• Chance: 52.77%
• Reasoning: Anderlecht score in 60% of their away games, Fenerbahce’s defense is weakened due to absences.

Odds: 1.74 – Kelly: 1%

3. Fenerbahce Over 1.5 Goals

• Chance: 61.91%
• Reasoning: They’ve scored 2+ goals in their last 3 home games.

Odds: 1.60 – Kelly: 1%

📌 Interesting Facts and Surprising Stats

• Fenerbahce have lost 4 out of the last 6 opening matches in European ties! Mourinho’s experience could be crucial in reversing this trend.
• Anderlecht have never scored at Sukru Saracoglu Stadium – they lost 2-0 in 2018.
• Fenerbahce are winless in their last 3 EL matches, but are very strong at home.
• En-Nesyri is 1 goal away from equaling the club record for goals in a single EL season – likely to be highly motivated.

🔮 Conclusion

Based on statistical data and analysis, Fenerbahce is the favored team. They are strong at home, whereas Anderlecht’s away performance is inconsistent. The safest bet is a Fenerbahce win. Among medium-risk tips, the both teams to score (BTTS) and Fenerbahce 2+ goals options are worth considering.