Frankfurt – Ferencváros
23 January 2022, Europa League
1. Team Statistics (Eintracht Frankfurt)
- Average Goals Scored: 2.0 per match
- Average Goals Conceded: 1.33 per match
- Average Possession: 53.66%
- Expected Goals (xG): 1.52
- Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.33
- Goal Difference: +5.2 in previous matches
Observation: Frankfurt has a strong attacking lineup, regularly scoring, and their possession is also dominant.
2. Team Statistics (Ferencváros)
- Average Goals Scored: 1.25 per match
- Average Goals Conceded: 1.50 per match
- Average Possession: 46.66%
- Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
- Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.45
- Goal Difference: -0.92 in previous matches
Observation: Ferencváros has a weaker defense, often conceding goals, but they possess attacking potential.
3. Player Statistics (Eintracht Frankfurt)
- Top Scorer: 12 goals
- Average Goals per Player: 1.35
- Average Ball Recoveries: 35.86 per player
- Winning Head-to-Head Rate: 15.52%
Observation: The team has a potent attacking force but low efficiency in winning aerial duels defensively.
4. Player Statistics (Ferencváros)
- Top Scorer: 10 goals
- Average Goals per Player: 1.20
- Average Ball Recoveries: 30.88 per player
- Winning Head-to-Head Rate: 6.64%
Observation: Ferencváros is less effective in aerial battles and has fewer ball recoveries.
5. Expert Analysis Key Findings
- Frankfurt has been in excellent form since the winter break, with three consecutive wins.
- Ferencváros’s last competitive match was in mid-December, raising questions about their match rhythm.
- Frankfurt is missing their top scorer, Omar Marmoush, who has signed with Manchester City.
- Historically, Ferencváros performs poorly against German teams.
6. Betting Tips by Risk Level
Low Risk:
- Frankfurt to Win (Probability: ~43%) Odds: 1.51, Kelly: 2%
- Reasoning: Frankfurt is strong at home, and Ferencváros is returning after a long break.
- Both Teams to Score (Probability: ~62%) Odds: 1.69, Kelly: 3%
- Reasoning: Both teams regularly score during the season.
- Over 2.5 Goals (Probability: ~60%) Odds: 1.52, Kelly: 2%
- Reasoning: Frankfurt’s attacking power and Ferencváros’s defensive issues make this likely.
Medium Risk:
- Ferencváros to Score at Least 1 Goal (Probability: ~76%) Odds: 1.50, Kelly: 2%
- Reasoning: FTC has strong attacking power, and Frankfurt’s defense is vulnerable.
- More Than 8.5 Corners in the Match, Odds: 1.61, Kelly: 1%
- Reasoning: Both teams lead many attacks, which could result in more corners.
High Risk:
Exact Final Result: 2-1 (Odds: 7.75), or 2-0 (Odds: 7.75), or 3-1 (Odds: 9.75)
7. Surprising Findings from the Data:
- Ferencváros is one of the highest-scoring teams in international matches among European clubs.
- Frankfurt has led in every match so far in the series but hasn’t always maintained the advantage.
- Ferencváros historically performs poorly against German teams, which could be a mental disadvantage.