Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart

January 21, 2025, UEFA Champions League

Based on data analysis, the following conclusions can be drawn about the teams of Slovan Bratislava and Stuttgart:

Team Statistics Analysis:

Slovan Bratislava

• Goals (GF) and Goals Against (GA):
  • They score an average of 1.89 goals per match, while conceding 2.67 goals.
  • During their European campaign, they have shown significant defensive issues, having conceded 21 goals in six matches, scoring only 5.
  • They perform more consistently at home but are less effective against stronger opponents.
• Possession:
  • Inconsistent, and they often retreat against stronger teams.
• Formation and Playing Style:
  • They mostly play in a 4-3-3 or 4-1-4-1 formation, focusing on maintaining a stable midfield presence.
  • The wingers play a crucial role in their attacking style.

Stuttgart

• Goals (GF) and Goals Against (GA):
  • On average, they score 1.5 goals per match and concede 2 goals.
  • Notable was their 1-0 away win against Juventus, but their 5-1 loss to Red Star reveals defensive vulnerabilities.
• Possession:
  • They control the ball around 55-60% of the time, which reflects their controlled style of play.
  • They dominate the midfield and utilize numerous passing combinations.
• Formation and Playing Style:
  • Their most common formation is 4-2-3-1, ensuring midfield stability and attacking support.
  • In-form attackers like Millot and Demirovic are significant threats.

Player Performance:

Key Players for Slovan Bratislava:

• Dávid Strelec (Forward):
  • 2 goals in 6 matches, averaging 90 minutes per match with 5.7 matches.
  • Effective in attack but requires support.
• Guram Kashia (Defender):
  • High number of interceptions and aerial duels won.
  • Experienced in defense but struggles with speed.

Key Players for Stuttgart:

• Enzo Millot (Midfielder):
  • 2 goals and 3 assists in 6 matches, averaging 90 minutes per match with 5.7 matches.
  • Excellent creativity and playmaking.
• Angelo Stiller (Midfielder):
  • Leads in tackles and key passes, efficient in winning the ball and initiating attacks.

Betting Tips (by Risk Category):

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Stuttgart Win (Probability: 60.35%)
   • Stuttgart is in better form, while Slovan Bratislava is out of contention.
     Odds: 1.26
2. Over 2.5 Goals in the Match (Probability: 67.72%)
   • Due to Stuttgart’s attacking potential and Slovan’s weak defense, this is a likely option.
     Odds: 1.37
3. Both Teams to Score (Probability: 63.48%)
   • Stuttgart tends to concede goals, but they are also successful in attack.
     Odds: 1.78

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. Stuttgart Win and Both Teams to Score (Probability: 45-50%)
   • Stuttgart enters as the favorite, but Slovan could score at home.
     Odds: 2.45
2. Exact Score 1-2 to Stuttgart (Probability: 9.58%)
   • This is the most likely outcome based on predictions, but presented purely for interest.
     Odds: 8.75
3. Stuttgart to Score More than 1.5 Goals (Probability: 65.84%)
   • Stuttgart’s attackers are in form, and many of their key players can create goal-scoring opportunities.
     Odds: 1.24

Interesting Findings from Data and Expert Analysis:

• Stuttgart’s away form has been inconsistent, but they have achieved good results against strong teams.
• Slovan will be motivated to prove themselves at home despite being out of contention.
• According to xG statistics, Stuttgart’s attack is outperforming expectations, while Slovan’s defense is underperforming.