ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 22
Team and Player Statistics Analysis
Everton Team Statistics:
- Weak Goal Scoring: Everton has scored only 7 goals from open play in 20 matches, marking their worst ratio in the Premier League so far.
- Weak Defense: They have failed to score in more than 12 matches this season, and their defense is vulnerable, conceding over 1.5 goals per game.
- Key Player Injuries: The absence of Dwight McNeil’s creativity and Seamus Coleman’s injury further weakens their chances.
Tottenham Team Statistics:
- Better Goal Scoring: Tottenham has scored nearly three times as many goals (around 20+) as Everton.
- Inconsistent Form: They have lost 7 out of their last 11 matches but can still dominate teams like Everton.
- Key Player Injuries: Injuries to Yves Bissouma and Timo Werner could have a significant impact on the team.
Individual Statistics:
- Everton: Iliman Ndiaye is the only standout attacking performer with 3 goals. Tarkowski is solid in defense, but less effective in building attacks.
- Tottenham: Solanke and Kulusevski have both scored 7 goals, providing strong attacking options. Pedro Porro contributes to the team’s performance both defensively and offensively.
Low-Risk Tip:
- Tottenham Draw or Win (X2):
- Probability: ~65%
- Reasoning: Everton’s poor form and injuries, combined with Tottenham’s strong historical record, make this a solid pick.
Odds: 1.41 – Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tip:
- Under 3.5 Goals:
- Probability: ~68%
- Reasoning: Both teams have shown a low goal average in their recent matches.
Odds: 1.47 – Kelly: 1%
3. Interesting Facts and Surprising Data
- Everton’s Team Form: Just one win in their last 12 matches, a very poor performance.
- Tottenham’s Dominance: Tottenham hasn’t lost to Everton at home since 2012, which could give them a psychological advantage.
- Kulusevski and Solanke’s Effectiveness: Together, they have scored 14 goals and contributed several assists, while the entire Everton team has scored only 7 goals.
Final Conclusions
- Based on the statistics, Tottenham is more likely to win the match.
- Everton’s attackers are out of form, and their defense is not stable enough to offer significant resistance.
- Bettors should avoid high-risk tips and focus on alternative markets, such as the number of goals or cards.