ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 12
Team Statistics
- Newcastle:
- Their current form is strong at home, having conceded only 1 goal in the last 4 home matches.
- Key attackers, such as Alexander Isak and Joelinton, have been performing well, with the latter scoring 2 goals in his last 11 matches.
- The defense is solid, though Dan Burn’s suspension due to yellow cards is a significant loss.
- West Ham:
- Their away form has been weak: just 1 win from the last 8 away games.
- The defense is vulnerable, conceding 7 goals in their last 2 away defeats.
- Jarrod Bowen is their most dangerous attacker, with 3 goals and 2 assists this season.
Player Statistics
- Newcastle players:
- Bruno Guimarães‘ creativity and ball recovery are crucial (60 ball recoveries).
- Nick Pope is a reliable goalkeeper, with an 80% win rate in aerial duels.
- West Ham players:
- Lucas Paquetá and Jarrod Bowen are key players in attack.
- In defense, Max Kilman provides stability, but the team struggles in aerial duels.
Patterns and Trends
- Their last 7 meetings have produced 32 goals, so a high-scoring match is expected.
- Newcastle is strong at home, while West Ham struggles away.
Betting Tips
Low-Risk Tip
- Newcastle to Win
- Reasoning: Home dominance and good form. West Ham has been weak away.
- Probability: 56.84%.
Odds: 1.52 – Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tip
- Alexander Isak to Score
- Reasoning: In good form, a key attacking weapon at home.
- Probability: 50%.
Odds: 1.83 – Kelly: 1%
Surprising Observations
- Newcastle could win three consecutive matches for the first time this season.
- West Ham’s attack could be dangerous in set-piece situations, but their defense is generally weak away.
Final Note
Based on the statistics and expert analysis, Newcastle is expected to dominate the match, but West Ham may pose a goal-scoring threat. Bettors should focus on goals and Newcastle’s win.