Wales – Iceland

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League – League B – Round 6

Wales:

1. Team Form:
   • Wales has shown a solid defense, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
   • However, their attacking game is weak: they have scored only 5 goals in 5 matches (an average of 1 goal per match).
2. Player Statistics:
   • Harry Wilson stands out with 3 goals and 1 assist, leading the team.
   • Neco Williams contributed with 2 assists, showing strong defensive and offensive work.
3. Strengths:
   • Solid defense that enables them to maintain tight results.
   • High possession rates (around 60% on average).
4. Weaknesses:
   • Lack of goals and creativity in the attacking third.

Iceland:

1. Team Form:
   • Mixed results: 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in their last 5 matches.
   • They have scored 9 goals but also conceded 9, indicating defensive weaknesses.
2. Player Statistics:
   • Orri Óskarsson leads the team with 3 goals, while Andri Guðjohnsen has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist.
   • Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson stands out with 21 crosses and 2 assists.
3. Strengths:
   • Effective attackers capable of scoring quickly.
4. Weaknesses:
   • Defensive gaps and low possession rates (around 42%).

Betting Tips and Probabilities

1. Wales Win or Draw No Bet (DNB):
   • Wales is unbeaten at home and has a strong defense.
   • Probability: 85%
     Odds: 1.25 Kelly: 4%
2. Over 3.5 Yellow Cards:
   • Both teams play aggressively, and the match has high stakes.
   • Probability: 65%
     Odds: 1.34 Kelly: 4%

Final Conclusion

Based on the statistics, Wales is the favorite to win, mainly due to their strong defensive performance at home. However, Iceland could pose a threat with their quick attacks, particularly if Wales’ defense is not tight enough. For betting, it’s worth focusing on safer, low-risk options.