ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 10
Current Team Form
Newcastle United has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 Premier League matches. Their defense conceded 10 goals, while their attack scored 5 goals. In contrast, Arsenal achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, with 8 goals scored and only 3 conceded in their last 5 matches.
Statistical Analysis
Newcastle’s performance has been consistent based on the stats, generating an average of 1.00 xG per match, which is relatively low compared to Arsenal’s 1.78 xG. Arsenal’s defense is efficient, conceding 10 goals in 9 matches, resulting in a 1.11 GA (Goals Against) ratio. Newcastle’s defense is also stable, but their GA of 1.11 does not place them in as strong a position.
Player Performance
Newcastle United:
- Bruno Guimarães plays a key role in building attacks from midfield, with an average of 0.5 xG and 0.5 xAG, acting as the creative engine of the team.
- Alexander Isak and Harvey Barnes are in form, with both scoring 2 goals in their last 5 matches. Isak’s stats show 3.5 xG, while Barnes has recorded 3 goals and 1 assist.
Arsenal:
- Bukayo Saka has an outstanding performance, with 3 goals and 7 assists in his last 5 matches, while Kai Havertz has also improved in the team’s attack.
- Declan Rice contributes significantly to Arsenal’s defense, adding solidity with 2 blocks and 5 tackles in recent games.
Low-Risk Bet Builder Tip:
- Arsenal Win or Draw (X2) + Over 1.5 Goals: Arsenal’s consistent form in recent matches makes them the favorites against Newcastle, whose form is weaker. Given both teams’ goal-scoring abilities and defensive stats, more than 1.5 goals are likely in this match.
Odds: 1.60 – Safe Kelly: 3%
Medium-Risk Tip:
- Over 4.5 Cards: Matches between Arsenal and Newcastle are generally physical, with the number of yellow cards often exceeding 4.5. Probability: 55% (Medium Risk).
Odds: 1.65 – Safe Kelly: 1%
Summary
The Newcastle vs. Arsenal match promises an exciting clash, with Arsenal’s current form and stats making them the favorites. Considering the recent performances and statistics, it is advisable to pay attention to the number of goals and yellow cards when betting. Newcastle is always stronger at home with fan support, but given Arsenal’s form and skill, they are favored to win.