ENGLAND: Premier League – Matchday 8, October 19, 2024
Tottenham Statistics
Tottenham has been in relatively good form this season, especially at home, where, aside from a loss to Arsenal, they have played successful matches. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 8. The team’s attacking play is dominated by Son Heung-min leading the forward line, while James Maddison plays a key role in creative attacks (6.3 games/2 goals and 2 assists). Cristian Romero and Pedro Porro are crucial in defense, also playing significant roles in passing (Romero with 545 accurate passes, Porro with 342).
West Ham Statistics
West Ham’s away performance has been unconvincing this season, with 2 wins and 2 losses. Defensively, they appear vulnerable, conceding 10 goals while scoring 9. Jarrod Bowen is one of their most dangerous attackers (6.7 games/2 goals, 2 assists), with Lucas Paquetá (5.8 games/2 goals) and Michail Antonio also contributing to their attacking threat.
Players and Tactical Analysis
Tottenham will likely play their usual 4-3-3 formation, while West Ham may use a 4-1-4-1 or 4-2-3-1 system. Tottenham’s home dominance is expected to continue, with them likely to spend more time in possession, facilitated by James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski. West Ham will likely rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces, utilizing Antonio’s physical presence and Bowen’s pace.
Low-Risk Tips:
- Tottenham Win – Low risk. Tottenham has shown strong home performances, while West Ham’s away form is unconvincing. The statistics and home advantage clearly favor Tottenham.
- Probability: 65%
- Over 2.5 Goals – Low risk. Both teams have been active in attack this season, and West Ham’s defensive issues increase the chances of more goals. Tottenham has scored 13 goals in 7 matches, while West Ham has netted 9.
- Probability: 65%
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Medium risk. Given West Ham’s attacking strength and Bowen’s good form, they are expected to score against Tottenham, while Tottenham’s attack is also strong, so it is likely both teams will find the back of the net.
- Probability: 60%
Analysis and Conclusion
Tottenham is the favorite at home, particularly due to their strong attack and better defense, while West Ham will rely more on counter-attacks. Based on current form, a Tottenham win, or at least a draw, is very likely. The number of goals is expected to exceed 2.5, as both teams are capable of creating scoring chances, and neither defense is flawless.