EUROPE: UEFA Nations League – League B – 3rd Round – October 10, 2024
Statistical Analysis of England:
England has played two matches in the Nations League this season, winning both 2-0. The standout players include Harry Kane, who scored 2 goals, along with Declan Rice and Jack Grealish, who also contributed to the team’s success. England has shown solid defense, as they have not conceded any goals so far, which could be a crucial factor in predicting the outcome of the match.
Harry Kane’s statistics are particularly noteworthy: an average of 1.11 goals per match, a high shooting ratio (6.11 shots per match), and 54.5% of these shots have been on target. Trent Alexander-Arnold and Declan Rice play key supporting roles in midfield and defense, as both are strong in ball recovery and building up attacks.
Statistical Analysis of Greece:
Greece also started the Nations League with two wins, but it’s important to note that Fotis Ioannidis, who contributed three goals to their success, will not be playing due to injury. This is a significant loss for the Greek attacking line and will likely reduce their chances of scoring. Vangelis Pavlidis is expected to be the main striker, but he has yet to score in this competition, making the effectiveness of the Greek attacks questionable.
The Greek defense appears stable, particularly under the leadership of Konstantinos Mavropanos and Kostas Tsimikas, who have not conceded any goals so far. Goalkeeper Odisseas Vlachodimos has also been impressive, maintaining a 100% save percentage and keeping a clean sheet in both of his matches.
Expert Analysis:
Experts highlight that England’s 100% performance and strong attacking potential make them the favorites for this match. Harry Kane scored in his 100th international match, and while he might be rested, England’s attacking line remains dangerous with players like Ollie Watkins and Dominic Solanke. Additionally, playing at home gives England an extra advantage.
On the Greek side, experts emphasize the impact of Ioannidis’ absence, which is a significant setback for the team. Although Pavlidis can replace him, the attacks will likely be less effective. Moreover, Greece has historically struggled against England, having scored in only one of their last nine matches.
Recommendations Categorized by Risk Level:
Low-risk Bet Builder Tip:
- England Win + Under 4.5 Goals: England’s performance so far, especially at home, strongly supports this outcome. Moreover, Greece’s attacking power is weakened by Ioannidis’ absence. Past matches between England and Greece have not seen many goals, and it is likely that this trend will continue.
Odds: 1.60 – Safe Kelly: 3%
In summary, England is the favorite to win, and a low number of goals is expected in the match. For bettors, an England victory and a low number of goals is a low-risk option.