ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 7 – October 5, 2024
Team Stats and Forms
Leicester City
- Average Goals (GF): 1.33, Average Goals (GA): 1.83
- Individual performance: They have only won two of their last six matches. Leicester’s defense does not seem too stable, as they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per match in their last six games.
Bournemouth
- Average Goals (GF): 1.33, Average Goals (GA): 1.50
- Individual performance: Bournemouth is in a similar situation, having recorded two wins and three losses so far. Bournemouth’s defense is performing slightly better than Leicester’s, but they too have conceded goals recently.
Player Statistics
Leicester City Key Players:
- Jamie Vardy: 6 matches, 2 goals, 1 assist. His ability to convert chances could be crucial against Bournemouth.
- Wilfred Ndidi: 6 matches, 4 assists. He is essential in midfield, helping both in attack and playing a key role in defense.
Bournemouth Key Players:
- Antoine Semenyo: 6 matches, 3 goals. He is in good form and could pose a constant threat to Leicester’s defense.
- Lewis Cook: 6 matches, 1 goal, 2 assists. His work in midfield is vital as he helps orchestrate the team’s attacking plays.
Analysis and Probabilities
Leicester City’s defense has been showing weak form recently, as they have conceded many goals in their matches. Bournemouth, although not looking entirely stable either, could perform better against Leicester’s weaker defense. According to the stats, both teams have a roughly equal chance of scoring.
Low-Risk Betting Tips:
- Bournemouth draw or win (X2) + Over 1.5 goals: Low risk
- Although Leicester plays at home, Bournemouth statistically performs better, especially with a stronger defense.
Odds: 1.61 – Safe Kelly: 3%
- Over 2.5 total goals: Low risk (probability: 65%)
- Based on the stats, both teams tend to score, suggesting a close, high-scoring match.
Odds: 1.67 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tips:
- Over 4.5 yellow cards: Medium risk (probability: 60%)
- Based on the previous stats of both teams, it is common for players to receive yellow cards, especially in high-stakes matches.
Odds: 1.79 – Safe Kelly: 1%
- Over 9.5 corners: Medium risk (probability: 55%)
- Given the game dynamics and both teams’ attacking lines, the number of corners could reach 10.