SPAIN: LaLiga – Round 6 – September 23, 2024
1. Current form of the teams
- Betis has been showing stable performance lately, especially at home, where they won 2-0 against Leganés and 2-1 against Getafe. The team’s xG (expected goals) was 2.1 and 2.6 in these matches, indicating that they create many opportunities and convert them effectively.
- Mallorca has been more inconsistent. Although they won their last match against Real Sociedad (1-0, xG 1.2), they previously lost 1-2 to Villarreal, where they only produced an xG of 0.3. This suggests they struggle to create goal-scoring opportunities against stronger opponents, especially when playing away.
2. Attack and defensive statistics
- Betis‘ standout attackers include Abde Ezzalzouli and Vitor Roque. Ezzalzouli has an xG of 2.2 and takes 3.97 shots per 90 minutes, making him the most dangerous player, while Roque follows with an xG of 1.82. It’s important to note that Betis’s attack is particularly effective at home, where they often dominate possession.
- Mallorca relies heavily on Vedat Muriqi, who has scored one goal and averages 2.30 shots per 90 minutes, making him their top attacker. However, compared to their opponents, Mallorca takes fewer shots and averages only 0.67 goals per game.
3. Tactical approach and team structure
- Betis plays in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which provides strong midfield control, especially with players like Marc Roca, who plays a key role in winning possession and passing (88.7% pass accuracy). Betis tends to focus on ball possession and build their attacks slowly.
- Mallorca uses a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation, often with a defensive approach, especially in away games. They have a lower possession rate and tend to rely on quick counter-attacks, with Muriqi targeting the opponent’s goal.
4. Defense and goalkeeper performance
- Betis‘ defense has looked solid in recent matches, especially at home. Goalkeeper Rui Silva has a save percentage of 80%, and Betis concedes an average of just 0.80 goals per match.
- Mallorca’s goalkeeper Leo Román has also performed well, achieving a 100% save rate in his matches. While their defense is strong, they generally allow opponents to create chances.
5. Injuries and expected line-ups
Expert analysis suggests that both teams may miss key players. For Betis, Rui Silva and Ezzalzouli are crucial for their defense and attack, while for Mallorca, Muriqi’s presence is vital for creating goal-scoring opportunities.
Low-risk tip:
- Betis win – Based on statistics and form, Betis is strong at home. They won their last two home matches and create more chances. (Probability: 60%)
Odds: 1.93 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Low-risk bet builder tip:
- Betis to win or draw (1X) + over 3.5 yellow cards – Both teams tend to collect yellow cards frequently. Defensive teams are often forced to commit fouls.
- Risk: Medium