SPAIN: LaLiga2 – Matchday 6 – September 20, 2024
Granada Analysis
Based on Granada’s current form and statistical performance, the team shows moderate scoring strength, having netted five goals in the last five matches. The attacking line hasn’t shown outstanding efficiency, but they’ve created several chances, especially through Heorhii Tsitaishvili, who has been one of the team’s most dangerous players, though he hasn’t scored yet but has created many opportunities (SCA90=4.69). Shon Weissman could also be a threat, though he hasn’t scored yet, but has taken several shots.
In defense, Granada has been somewhat inconsistent. In recent matches, they’ve made several mistakes, but defenders Carlos Neva and Ricard Sánchez have shown solid performances. However, there is concern over goalkeeper Marc Martínez, whose save percentage of 64.7% does not rank him among the league’s best. The team’s defensive efforts rely heavily on midfield rotation during possession, with Sergio Ruiz and Manu Trigueros actively contributing to forward play, but with an average of 1.60 goals conceded per match, the defense shows vulnerability.
Málaga Analysis
Málaga, on the other hand, has shown more stability in defense, with an average of 0.80 goals conceded per match, one of the best in the league. Goalkeeper Alfonso Herrero has delivered an impressive 80% save percentage, a crucial factor if Granada struggles to break through their defense. Offensively, Málaga has not been very strong, with only five goals scored, but the duo of Antonio Cordero and Dioni could pose a significant threat to Granada’s defense, particularly considering Cordero’s average of 1.18 goals and assists per match (G+A).
Málaga’s defense is tight and well-organized, led by Nélson Monte and Einar Galilea, who clear many long balls and efficiently build attacks through midfield passing. Manu Molina and David Larrubia also play key roles in advancing the ball, but in the attacking third, they perform weakly, averaging just 0.15 expected assists per match (xA).
Motivation and Context
Human analysis highlights that both teams will enter the match highly motivated, as both are aiming for higher positions. Granada plays at home, which could give them an advantage, while Málaga has drawn more matches away, but their stable defense makes them hard to beat.
Betting Tips Analysis
Low-risk Tip:
- Granada more corners: Granada typically dominates possession at home, leading to more attacks and more corner kicks.
Odds: 1.61 – Safe Kelly: 2%
Medium-risk Tip:
- Draw: Both teams are in similar form, and both have played close matches recently. Given Málaga’s solid away defense and Granada’s fluctuating form, a draw seems a likely outcome.