TURKEY: Super Lig – Round 3, September 17, 2024
- Galatasaray’s form and home dominance: Galatasaray is performing exceptionally in the league, having won all their matches so far. Additionally, they have dominated their recent home games, with 33 wins out of their last 35 home league matches (1 draw, 1 loss). Moreover, Galatasaray has won the last four head-to-head encounters, further boosting the home team’s chances. Based on this, Galatasaray is likely to win again.
- Gaziantep’s form and goal statistics: Gaziantep’s form has been inconsistent, having lost their last two matches, and their defense is vulnerable. They conceded 3 goals in their last game, and in several games this season, they have finished with a conceded goal. The data suggests that Galatasaray may score multiple goals against them, as Gaziantep’s defense seems to be a weak point.
- Injuries and key players: Mauro Icardi remains injured for Galatasaray, but the team’s strength lies in the outstanding performances of Victor Osimhen and Dries Mertens in attack. Their defense is also stable, particularly with Abdülkerim Bardakci and Fernando Muslera. On Gaziantep’s side, defender Godfrey Stephen’s injury could present serious problems, making them even more vulnerable to Galatasaray’s attackers.
- Motivation and situation: Galatasaray’s goal is to defend their title, and they give their all in every match. In contrast, Gaziantep’s poor start and string of defeats may lead to a lack of confidence.
Medium-risk betting tip:
- Galatasaray -1.5 Asian handicap: Given that Galatasaray has won their last two league matches by multiple goals, including a 5-0 blowout against Rizespor, there’s a good chance they will win this match by a similar margin. Statistical models suggest that the most likely outcomes are 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.06%).