Juventus – PSV Eindhoven

EUROPE: Champions League – Group Stage – Round 1, September 17, 2024

Statistical Analysis of Juventus

Juventus has shown a stable defense so far this season. The team has played four matches in Serie A, conceding only one goal, and keeping three clean sheets. This indicates strong defensive performance, with key figures being Gleison Bremer and Federico Gatti. Bremer made 5 clean tackles in 4 games, while Gatti boasts an 83.3% tackle success rate. Additionally, goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio has maintained a 100% save rate over his three appearances, further strengthening Juventus’ defense.

On the attacking side, Dušan Vlahović has been particularly notable, scoring 2 goals in 4 matches and registering 1.5 xG (expected goals). However, Juventus’ attacking play shows mixed results, as their goal tally is lower than expected given their opportunities, scoring 6 goals from an xG of 3.8. Kenan Yıldız, with 2 assists and 1.1 npxG+xAG (expected non-penalty goals and assists), is one of the creative players.

Statistical Analysis of PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven is in excellent form in the Dutch league, scoring 18 goals in five matches, which averages to 3.6 goals per match. Hirving Lozano and Guus Til have been outstanding, each directly involved in 5 goals (Lozano with 4 goals and 1 assist, Til with 3 goals and 2 assists). Another key player in the attacking section is Luuk de Jong, who has contributed to 6 goals (2 goals, 4 assists).

PSV’s defense is also strong, conceding only 3 goals in 5 matches, supported by an xGA (expected goals against) of 5.0. Goalkeeper Walter Benítez, with a 77.8% save rate, is a reliable last line of defense.

Medium-risk Tip:

  1. Under 3 Goals in the Match (Asian goal line) – While PSV is dominant in the Eredivisie, they are up against a much stronger defense than what they are accustomed to in their domestic league. Juventus’ organized defense is expected to limit PSV’s attacks.

Odds: 1.58 – Safe Kelly: 2%

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