GERMANY: Bundesliga – Round 3, September 14, 2024
Team Statistics and Player Performance
- Wolfsburg scored 4 goals in two matches while conceding 3. Their xG (expected goals) stands at 3.1, slightly better than their actual goals scored, indicating that they had more chances to score but failed to capitalize fully. Defensively, their opponents’ xG is 3.5, showing that opponents regularly created chances due to defensive errors.
- Eintracht Frankfurt similarly scored 3 goals and conceded 3 in two matches, but their xG is 3.8, which suggests they are also effective at creating opportunities. Their opponents’ expected goals are 2.7, indicating they defend better than Wolfsburg.
Player Performance
- On Wolfsburg’s side, Maximilian Arnold and Patrick Wimmer stand out from an attacking perspective. Arnold, with 1 goal and 1 assist, and his xG data support his effectiveness in building attacks. Patrick Wimmer is one of the most active playmakers, with 0.56 assists per game and a significant number of shots.
- On Eintracht Frankfurt’s side, Hugo Ekitike and Omar Marmoush are the most dangerous players. Ekitike had 2 shots on target from 5 attempts, while Marmoush averages 3.67 shots per game, a very high number, so he will likely take more shots again.
Expected Gameplay and Motivation Experts suggest that Wolfsburg is always more motivated at home and tends to play more offensively, especially against opponents of similar strength. Eintracht Frankfurt, on the other hand, aims to prevent goals with well-structured defense and relies on counter-attacks, led by Marmoush and Ekitike.
Low-risk tips:
- Both teams to score (probability: 70%)
- Both teams have stable attacking lines, and their defenses are not flawless. Wolfsburg has conceded more goals, and Frankfurt is also capable of creating chances.
- Over 2.5 goals (probability: 65%)
- Both teams regularly score, and the xG data also suggest that both sides can create several chances. The average number of shots and chances also supports this.