BRAZIL: Campeonato Brasileiro B – Round 25, September 5, 2024
Key Findings:
- Vila Nova’s strong home form: Vila Nova has shown excellent form at home, winning nine of their 12 home matches this season and drawing three, while also maintaining balanced performances away. They are currently unbeaten in 18 home games, demonstrating remarkable stability. On the other hand, CRB has a poor away record, having failed to win in 17 away matches. Statistically, this strongly supports Vila Nova’s chances of winning.
- CRB’s away weaknesses: CRB has not managed to secure an away win this season and has failed to win any of their last eight matches. These facts confirm CRB’s weak performance away from home, which significantly affects their chances.
Low-risk betting tips:
- Vila Nova to win (Probability: 70%)
- Based on statistics, Vila Nova dominates at home, while CRB is in poor form away. Vila Nova’s unbeaten streak at home and their motivation for promotion support this tip.
- Odds: 1.76 – Safe Kelly: 1%
- Under 2.5 goals (Probability: 65%)
- Both teams’ matches tend to have few goals. Vila Nova has scored 27 goals in 24 matches, while CRB has scored 22 goals. Additionally, CRB’s weak offensive form may contribute to a low-scoring game. Both teams have stable defensive records, which further suggests a low-goal match.
- Odds: 1.41 – Safe Kelly: 2%