SOUTH AMERICA: World Cup Qualifiers – Round 7, September 5, 2024
Low-risk tips:
- Venezuela +1 Asian Handicap (If Venezuela loses by 1 goal, the stake is refunded. If Venezuela draws or wins, the bet is successful.)
- According to statistical models, Venezuela has a 53.7% chance of winning, and one of the most likely outcomes is a 0-1 victory for Venezuela (15.72%). If Bolivia wins, it is expected to be a close result, such as 1-0 or 2-1, which would still cover the +1 handicap.
- Probability: 80%
- Odds: 1.61 – Safe Kelly: 20%
- Venezuela win or draw (Double Chance: Venezuela or draw)
- Analysis: Venezuela has shown stronger form during the qualifiers, losing only one out of their six matches, while Bolivia has five losses and only one win. Furthermore, Bolivia is not in good form at home. Although Venezuela has not won in their last 12 away World Cup qualifiers, based on statistical data (53.7% probability of their win) and the current form of both teams, Venezuela’s win or draw is the most likely outcome.
- Probability: 75%
- Odds: 2.1 – Safe Kelly: 10%