ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional – Round 13 – September 3, 2024
Analysis of Godoy Cruz
Godoy Cruz has shown strong home performance, winning four of their last five home matches. The team’s defense has proven reliable, with an average of 1.09 goals conceded per match, which is considered good in the league. Additionally, goalkeeper Franco Petroli boasts an impressive 75.7% save rate, contributing to the overall stability of the team’s defense. The attacking line has delivered mixed results, but players like Daniel Barrea and Facundo Altamira stand out, each scoring 2 goals in recent matches. Moreover, Salomón Rodríguez poses a significant threat, particularly in his ability to capitalize on chances in front of goal.
Analysis of Central Córdoba
Central Córdoba’s form can be described as inconsistent, especially in away matches where they have generally performed poorly. Based on their previous games, they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per match. Tomás Molina stands out in the attacking line, having scored 4 goals in the last five matches. However, the defense is vulnerable, as indicated by a 31.6% ball loss rate, particularly in the defensive third. Goalkeeper Luis Ingolotti has performed steadily, but the weaknesses in the defense often provide opportunities for opponents.
Key Observations and Trends
- Defensive and Offensive Stability: Godoy Cruz’s defense appears more reliable, especially at home, while Central Córdoba’s defense is weaker, which could be an advantage for Godoy Cruz.
- Form of Attacking Players: Godoy Cruz has multiple attacking options capable of scoring, while Central Córdoba heavily relies on Tomás Molina’s form.
- Motivation and Form: Godoy Cruz’s home performance and the team’s motivation to maintain their good form might be a stronger factor compared to Central Córdoba, who perform weaker in away games.
Low-Risk Tips:
- Under 2.5 Goals (75% Probability):
- Based on statistics and xG indicators, it’s likely that fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match. Both teams have relatively strong defenses, and their attacking play is not particularly effective.
- Odds: 1.46 – Kelly: 2%
Medium-Risk Tip: 2. Godoy Cruz Victory – (Probability: 60-65%)
- Godoy Cruz is stable at home with a strong defense, while Central Córdoba performs weaker in away matches.
- Odds: 1.92 – Kelly: 2%