SPAIN: LaLiga2 – Round 3 – September 2, 2024
Statistical Analysis:
- Team Comparison:
- Eibar has strong defense, having conceded only 2 goals in the first two matches. Their defensive stats are also notable, with 35 successful tackles, while Levante’s defense recorded 29 successful tackles. Additionally, Eibar’s goalkeeper, Jon Mikel Magunagoitia, has an impressive 90% save rate, which is particularly noteworthy.
- However, Levante’s offensive statistics are also strong. They scored 3 goals in the first two matches, and their xG (expected goals) was 3.4, indicating that they could have scored more with better finishing.
- Player Performance:
- For Eibar, Jon Bautista stands out, having scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist, with an xG of 1.2, indicating he is a threat to the goal. Moreover, Matheus Pereira da Silva also plays a crucial role in midfield, advancing the ball and creating chances.
- On Levante’s side, Carlos Álvarez and Brugui are noteworthy. Carlos Álvarez has already scored 1 goal with an xG of 0.6, while Brugui, with 5 shots and an xG of 1.9, could be the team’s main offensive force. It’s also important to note that Levante’s goalkeeper, Andrés Fernández, delivered a strong performance with an 87.5% save rate.
Expert Analysis in Relation to the Statistics:
Experts point out that Eibar generally performs well at home, as supported by the statistics, particularly regarding their defensive stability. Levante, however, is also capable of playing effectively away from home, as evidenced by their victory in the first round. Both teams are motivated to stay at the top of the table, which could result in an intense and tactical match.
Low and Medium-Risk Betting Tips:
- Under 3 Goals in the Match – Low Risk (Asian Total Goals)
- Based on the teams’ performance so far, both sides have shown stable defense, making it unlikely that many goals will be scored in this match. Eibar relies on strong defense at home, while Levante’s away defense is also reliable. The probability is approximately 65%.
- Odds: 1.41 – Kelly: 2%
- Over 4.5 Corners for Eibar – Medium Risk
- Both teams are active in attacks, and they have achieved many corners in their previous matches. Since Eibar and Levante both follow an attacking style, many corners are expected in this match as well. The probability is approximately 60%.
- Odds: 1.43 – Kelly: 2%
- Over 4.5 Yellow Cards in the Match – Medium Risk
- Both teams tend to commit fouls, and they have already received many cards in previous matches. Probability: 55-60%.
- Odds: 1.78 – Kelly: 2%