Europa League – Playoff Second Leg, August 29, 2024
General Analysis:
The first match between Besiktas and Lugano ended in a 3-3 draw, highlighting both teams’ attacking capabilities and defensive weaknesses. According to statistical data, Besiktas is strong at home, with their attack, particularly Ciro Immobile and Rafa Silva, posing a significant threat. On the other hand, Lugano has struggled to win their recent European away matches, and their defense has often faced challenges.
Besiktas’ statistics suggest they are likely to score multiple goals at home, while Lugano’s defense appears vulnerable, especially away. Additionally, Besiktas will benefit from the return of several key players, whereas Lugano has struggled with injuries and suspensions, further weakening their squad.
Betting Tips:
- Both teams to score (low risk, probability: 57.01%)
Odds: 1.85 – Kelly: 2%
Given both teams’ attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities, it is likely that both teams will score. The first match supports this, with both sides scoring multiple goals. - Over 2.5 goals in the match (Medium risk, probability: 56.28%)
Odds: 1.66 – Kelly: 2%
The first match saw six goals, and both teams’ attacking styles suggest more goals are likely. Based on statistics and player form, it is probable that at least three goals will be scored in this match as well.
Summary:
The safest bet is the “both teams to score” option, which is low risk considering both teams’ attacking and defensive statistics. Additionally, the “over 2.5 goals” option is medium risk, but it remains likely that more goals will be scored in this match, similar to the first encounter.