Belgrano – Godoy Cruz

Argentina

Statistical Summary

Belgrano:

• Recent Performance: Three wins, two draws, and two losses in their last seven matches. Mixed results recently, including a 4-4 draw against Racing Club and a 2-3 loss to Lanús.
• Goals and Chances: Franco Jara is the team’s top scorer with five goals. The team has scored 12 goals and conceded 13. The team’s xG (expected goals) is 8.6, indicating their actual goals are slightly higher than expected.
• Key Players: Bryan Reyna (2 goals, 3 assists), Francisco González (2 assists), and Santiago Longo (defensive midfielder).
• Defense: Alejandro Rébola and Mariano Troilo are solid defenders, but the team struggles with conceding goals (13 goals conceded).

Godoy Cruz:

• Recent Performance: Four wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. After a strong start (e.g., 2-0 win against Defensa y Justicia), they have slightly declined.
• Goals and Chances: Vicente Poggi is the team’s top scorer with three goals. The team has scored 4 goals and conceded 7. The team’s xG is 7.1, aligning with their actual goals.
• Key Players: Lucas Arce (2 assists), Vicente Poggi (3 goals), and Federico Rasmussen (solid defense).
• Defense: Solid defense with fewer goals conceded (7 goals conceded).

Expert Analysis

Experts believe Belgrano is motivated to perform at home, especially after mixed results. Key players like Bryan Reyna and Franco Jara may play crucial roles. However, their defense seems to be a weak point, especially against strong attacking teams.

Godoy Cruz, on the other hand, has a stable defense and strong midfield. Vicente Poggi is a prolific scorer, and Lucas Arce’s creativity can create many opportunities. Experts suggest Godoy Cruz may play defensively away, waiting for counter-attacking chances.

Tactical Notes

• Belgrano is expected to adopt an attacking approach, especially in front of their home crowd. Their main attacking force will be Bryan Reyna and Franco Jara.
• Godoy Cruz may arrive with a defensive strategy, focusing on counter-attacks through Vicente Poggi and Lucas Arce.

Betting Tips

1. Number of Yellow Cards:
   • Low Risk: Both teams receive an average of more yellow cards. Recently, Belgrano received 19 yellow cards, while Godoy Cruz received 13.
   • Tip: Over 4.5 yellow cards (Low risk 2.14x).
2. Number of Corner Kicks:
   • Medium Risk: Belgrano has had more corners in recent matches (27 corners). Godoy Cruz also often wins corners (21 corners).
   • Tip: Over 7.5 corners (Low risk 1.42x), Over 8.5 corners (Medium risk 1.76x).
3. Number of Goals:
   • Under 2.5 goals in the match (1.40x): Both teams’ defenses are more stable than their offenses, and based on previous match averages, a low-scoring game is more likely. (Low risk)

Summary

The match is difficult to predict, but the number of yellow cards and corners is a safer betting option. Belgrano may adopt an attacking approach at home, while Godoy Cruz may rely on solid defense and counter-attacks. The number of yellow cards and corners is likely to be high, considering both teams’ statistics and playing styles.