Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Statistical Analysis
Based on the available data, the most likely outcome of the match is a HNK Rijeka victory with a probability of 52.5%. The probability of a Corvinul Hunedoara win is 24.04%, while a draw is 23.5%. The most likely scoreline is a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka with a probability of 9.91%, followed by 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The most likely win for Corvinul Hunedoara is 1-0 (6.28%), while the most likely draw is 1-1 (11.05%).
In terms of goals, the statistics show that more than 2.5 goals are likely to be scored (54.91%). Both teams are likely to score (55.71%), with HNK Rijeka being more likely to score at least one goal (82.84%) and likely to score two or more goals (52.59%).
Expert Analysis
Experts point out that HNK Rijeka is highly motivated to improve after the disappointments of last season. They finished second in their domestic league and lost the Croatian cup final. The team’s goal is to at least reach the group stage of the Europa Conference League.
Corvinul Hunedoara, although they surprised in the first round against PAKS, face a significant challenge as a second-tier Romanian team against a team like Rijeka. Their success in the first round, especially the 4-0 away win against PAKS, was impressive.
Player Statistics and Expected Lineups
Expected lineup for Corvinul Hunedoara: Lefter; Iacob, Lica, Manolache, Neacsa; Hrezdac, Bradu, Roger; Lupu, Bus, Pirvulescu. Expected lineup for HNK Rijeka: Zlomislic; Galesic, Ivanovic, Radeljic, Banda; Bogojevic, Jankovic, Petrovic, Cabraja; Butic, Hodza.
Recommendations and Betting Tips
Low-Risk Tip
- HNK Rijeka win (probability: 52.5%, odds: 1.68x) – Low risk
- Statistics and team motivation clearly tilt the balance towards Rijeka. The team is stronger and more experienced on the international stage.
Medium-Risk Tip 2. Over 1.5 goals in the match (Low risk, 1.27x). Over 2.5 goals (probability: 54.91%, odds: 1.82x) – Medium risk
- According to the data, the match is likely to be rich in goals, which is expected due to the attacking football and motivated Rijeka.
- HNK Rijeka over 1.5 goals (probability: 52.59%, odds: 1.27x) – Medium risk
- Given Rijeka’s attacking power and Corvinul Hunedoara’s defensive weaknesses, it is likely that the Croatian team will score at least two goals.
Interesting Facts from the Human Analysis
- Rijeka’s motivation to correct last year’s disappointments can give them extra momentum.
- Corvinul Hunedoara’s major surprise in the previous round increases their confidence, but their inexperience and second-division status make them underdogs.
Summary
Based on the data and human analyses, the most likely outcome is a HNK Rijeka victory. The match could be rich in goals, with both teams likely to score. These tips are the most secure based on statistical data and expert analyses. The Rijeka victory is a low-risk tip, while the goals and both teams scoring are medium-risk.