Palmeiras – Cruzeiro

Brasileiro

Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro – Detailed Analysis and Prediction

Introduction

The clash between Palmeiras and Cruzeiro promises an exciting match in the Brasileiro league. Both teams are in different forms, and based on statistical data and analysts’ opinions, we will try to predict the outcome of the match and highlight betting options with lower risk.

Statistical Analysis

Palmeiras

Goals and Chances

• Palmeiras has scored 25 goals in 17 matches, averaging 1.47 goals per game. The team’s xG (expected goals) is 30.7, indicating they are underperforming slightly.
• Estevão is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, followed by Rony with 3 goals. Estevão also has 4 assists, showcasing his crucial role in the attack.
• José López has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist, highlighting his importance in the attacking system.

Defense

• The defense is relatively stable, conceding only 13 goals in 17 matches, with a GA90 (goals against per match) of 0.76. Goalkeeper Wéverton has a save efficiency of 81.3%, which is an excellent performance.

Passing and Possession

• The team’s pass accuracy is 77.8%, and the players complete long passes with 84.7% accuracy. The number of progressive passes and dribbles is also significant, indicating that the team aims to play forward and put pressure on the opponent.

Cruzeiro

Goals and Chances

• Cruzeiro has scored 23 goals in 16 matches, averaging 1.44 goals per game. Their xG is 16.8, meaning they outperform their expected goals, indicating efficient attacking play.
• Matheus Pereira is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by William with 2 goals and 5 assists.

Defense

• The defense is less effective, conceding 17 goals in 16 matches. Goalkeeper Anderson has a save efficiency of 75.9%, which is decent but not top-level.

Passing and Possession

• Cruzeiro’s pass accuracy is 75.4%, and they also have a significant number of progressive passes and dribbles. The team plays similarly to Palmeiras, aiming for quick attacks and dominating the midfield.

Analysts’ Opinions

Analysts highlight that Palmeiras is strong and confident at home, especially in defense. Cruzeiro, on the other hand, focuses more on attacking play and efficiently utilizes their chances, which promises a challenging match for Palmeiras’ defense.

Analysts also mention that both teams are motivated as league standings and potential international cup participation are at stake. Based on motivation and form, a close match is expected, where defense and efficient attacking will be decisive.

Predictions and Betting Tips

Low-Risk Tips

1. Palmeiras to concede less than 2.5 goals – Low risk (1.21x): Based on Palmeiras’ strong defense and Wéverton’s performance, it is likely they will concede less than 2.5 goals.
2. Palmeiras to win and less than 3.5 goals scored – Low risk (2.1x): Palmeiras is strong at home with a stable defense, so they are likely to win but with few goals.
3. Over 3.5 yellow cards in the match – Low risk (1.25), Over 4.5 – Medium risk (1.57x): Due to the teams’ motivation and the expected tight match, more yellow cards are likely.

Medium-Risk Tips

1. Estevão to score – Medium risk (3.30x): Estevão is in good form and likely to score in the match.
2. Both teams to score (GG) – Medium risk (1.96x): Due to both teams’ attacking strength and defensive weaknesses, it is likely both teams will score.

Summary

Based on statistical data and analysts’ opinions, the match promises a close and tough battle. Palmeiras is strong at home, while Cruzeiro has an efficient attacking play. Among the betting tips, the safest ones are both teams to score, Palmeiras to concede less than 2.5 goals, and over 8.5 corners in the match. These tips carry lower risk, while medium-risk tips include Estevão scoring and the number of yellow cards.