Argentine Primera Division
When analyzing the match between San Lorenzo and Huracán, both statistical data and expert opinions play a crucial role. The following analysis aims to provide a detailed overview of the current form, strengths, and weaknesses of both teams, offering tips for bettors.
San Lorenzo Statistics and Analysis
Team Performance:
- San Lorenzo’s current form is weak, with 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 4 matches.
- Their xG (expected goals) is 3.3, while their xGA (expected goals against) is 3.2, indicating they have conceded more goals than they were expected to score.
Key Players:
- Cristian Ferreira: Averages 1 goal and 1 assist in 2.4 matches, with an xG of just 0.3, indicating low efficiency.
- Cristian Tarragona: Has 1 assist in 2.8 matches, with an xG of 0.3, showing he is not very dangerous in front of goal.
Defensive Statistics:
- The team has received 5 yellow cards in 4 matches, showing moderate aggression.
- Key defensive players include Gastón Campi, who has won 5 tackles and blocked 2 shots in 3 matches.
Motivation and Challenges:
- The team needs to improve their attack as they create few scoring chances.
- While their defense is stable, goalkeepers Gastón Gómez and Facundo Altamirano need to perform better.
Huracán Statistics and Analysis
Team Performance:
- Huracán is in better form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches.
- Their xG is 6.4, while their xGA is 3.6, showing a positive balance.
Key Players:
- Ignacio Pussetto: Has scored 5 goals and provided 1 assist in 5 matches, with an xG of 3.3, indicating excellent performance.
- Héctor Fértoli: Has scored 3 goals in 4.7 matches, with an xG of 1.1, also showing high efficiency.
Defensive Statistics:
- The team has received 11 yellow cards in 5 matches, indicating higher aggression.
- Key defensive player Lucas Carrizo has received 4 yellow cards and made 12 clearances in 5 matches.
Motivation and Challenges:
- The team has a strong attack, especially with Pussetto and Fértoli.
- Their defense is also strong, with goalkeepers Hernán Galíndez and Sebastián Meza having high save percentages.
Tips for Bettors
Low-Risk Tips:
- Under 2.5 goals in the match (1.30x) – Based on xG and xGA values, few goals are likely. [Low Risk]
- San Lorenzo to score under 1.5 goals (1.30x) – Due to their weak attacking form. [Low Risk]
Medium-Risk Tips:
- Huracán to win (medium risk 3.35x), Huracán to win or draw (Low risk 1.49x) – Based on Huracán’s current form and motivation. [Medium Risk]
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in the match (1.61x) – Based on the aggressive playing style of both teams. [Medium Risk]
Conclusion
Overall, based on Huracán’s current form and statistics, they are more likely to win against San Lorenzo. Bettors should focus on fewer goals and a Huracán victory, while also considering the players’ aggression in terms of yellow cards.