Venezuela – Canada

Copa America, Quarter-Finals

Analysis

Combined Overview of Venezuela and Canada’s Statistical Data and Expert Analysis

Venezuela Statistics

1. Goals and Attacks:
   • Venezuela scored 6 goals in 3 matches, averaging 2 goals per match. Notably, Salomón Rondón and Eduard Bello each scored 2 goals.
   • Their xG value is 4.8, indicating they scored more goals than expected based on their chances (overperformance).
2. Defense and Goalkeeping Performance:
   • Goalkeeper Rafael Romo conceded only 1 goal in 3 matches, with a GA90 of 0.33. His Save% is 90%, an excellent performance.
   • Defensively, Yordan Osorio and José Andrés Martínez stood out, making several crucial interceptions and clearances.
3. Passing Statistics:
   • The team has an overall pass accuracy of 78.9%. Midfielders José Andrés Martínez and Yangel Herrera are the most reliable passers.
4. Motivation and Form:
   • Venezuela won all three group matches, indicating strong form. The team is highly motivated, having a historic chance to advance to the semi-finals.

Canada Statistics

1. Goals and Attacks:
   • Canada scored only 1 goal in 3 matches, by Jonathan David. Their xG is 4.0, indicating they should have scored more based on their chances (underperformance).
   • Attacks often start with Alphonso Davies, who plays a key role in their offensive play.
2. Defense and Goalkeeping Performance:
   • Maxime Crépeau conceded 2 goals in 3 matches, with a GA90 of 0.67. His Save% is 87.5%, also an excellent performance.
   • Alistair Johnston and Moïse Bombito’s defensive work is outstanding, both playing crucial roles in the defense’s stability.
3. Passing Statistics:
   • Canada has a pass accuracy of 78.5%, similar to Venezuela’s. Stephen Eustáquio and Alistair Johnston are among the most reliable passers.
4. Motivation and Form:
   • Canada finished the group stage with one win, one draw, and one loss. Although their defense is solid, they need to improve their offensive efficiency.

Evaluation and Low/Moderate Risk Tips

Low and Medium Risk Tips:

1. Under 3.5 goals in the match (Low risk), Under 2.5 goals (Medium risk):
   • Both teams have strong and effective defenses. Venezuela conceded 1 goal in 3 matches, while Canada conceded 2 goals in the same period. Additionally, Canada’s attacking play is less effective, likely resulting in fewer goals.
2. Over 7.5 corners (Low risk), Over 8.5 corners (Medium risk):
   • Both teams engage in active attacking play, leading to more corners.
3. Venezuela win or draw (Medium risk):
   • Venezuela is in strong form, while Canada’s attacking play is struggling. Therefore, Venezuela is likely not to lose the match.
4. Under 5.5 yellow cards (Low risk), Under 4.5 yellow cards (Medium risk):
   • Statistics show that both teams’ matches have a low number of yellow cards.
5. Salomón Rondón to score:
   • Based on Rondón’s form, he has a realistic chance of scoring. Risk: Medium
6. Venezuela to advance (Medium risk):
   • Venezuela, arriving as group leaders with three wins and in good form, has a significant advantage with Rafael Romo’s excellent goalkeeping and a solid defense.

Final Remarks

Based on the statistics, Venezuela currently shows stronger form, especially in their attacking play. Canada’s defense is stable, but they need to improve their attacking efficiency. The above tips are low, moderate, and medium risk, considering both teams’ performances and current form.