European Championship, Round of 16
In the analysis, I considered both the statistical data and expert analysis of the European Championship Round of 16 match between Romania and the Netherlands. Here is a detailed overview and betting suggestions, with a particular focus on statistical trends and correlations.
Romania Statistical Analysis
Romania has had mixed results in this year’s European Championship. Out of their three matches, they won one, drew one, and lost one. With four points in the group, they finished in second place. The team scored a total of four goals and conceded three, indicating a balanced performance.
Key Players and Performances
- Răzvan Marin was the team’s top scorer with two goals and played an important role in midfield. He was also the most dangerous player based on the xG (expected goals) metric (0.9).
- Nicolae Stanciu played a key role in organizing attacks, scored 1 goal, and had a 2.37 SCA/90 (Shot-Creating Actions per 90 minutes) value, making him central to the team’s attacks.
- Denis Drăguș also scored a goal and had a 2.4 npxG+xA/90 (non-penalty expected goals and assists) value, highlighting his attacking prowess.
Defense and Goalkeeping
- Florin Niță goalkeeper showed an 80% save efficiency, which is solid.
- Radu Drăgușin and Andrei Burcă were central figures in the defense, both providing stable defensive performances.
Netherlands Statistical Analysis
The Netherlands also had mixed results in their group, with one win, one draw, and one loss. They scored four goals and conceded three, showing a similar balance to Romania.
Key Players and Performances
- Cody Gakpo was the top scorer with 2 goals and had a 1.7 npxG+xA/90 value, indicating outstanding attacking potential.
- Memphis scored 1 goal and had a 0.49 npxG+xA/90 value, making him a dangerous player in attacks.
- Virgil van Dijk and Stefan de Vrij defended solidly and played important roles in organizing the defense.
Defense and Goalkeeping
- Bart Verbruggen goalkeeper had a 73.3% save efficiency, slightly lower than the Romanian goalkeeper but still respectable.
- The Dutch defense executed more blocks and tackles than Romania, suggesting a tighter defensive strategy.
Motivation and Expert Analysis
Experts believe both teams will enter the field with strong motivation, as both have a good chance of progressing. Romania is expected to play a stable but not overly aggressive defense, while the Netherlands will likely focus more on attacks.
Betting Tips
Low Risk
- Total goals under 3.5 (Low risk 1.39 odds), Total goals under 2.5 (Medium risk 2.00 odds) – Both teams have shown balanced defenses, so fewer goals are expected (Low risk).
- Netherlands more than 4.5 corners (Low risk, 1.24 odds) – Based on the Netherlands’ attacking style and the increase in corner numbers, it might be worth betting on this.
- Netherlands to advance (Low risk, 1.2 odds): The Netherlands gives the impression of a stronger team, but the match outcome can be close.
Medium Risk
- Netherlands win (Medium risk, 1.47 odds): The Netherlands gives the impression of a stronger team, but the match outcome can be close.
Possible combination (1.97 odds):
Less than 3.5 goals in the match + Netherlands win or draw (double chance) + Netherlands more than 4.5 corners
These analyses and betting tips take into account both statistical data and expert analyses, offering the safest betting options.