Venezuela – Mexico

Copa America Group Stage

Analysis for the Venezuela vs. Mexico Match

Statistical Analysis of Venezuela:

Venezuela’s performance in the Copa América has been mixed so far. In their most recent match, they defeated Ecuador 2-1, generating 1.6 xG while conceding only 0.9 xG, indicating solid defense and effective attacks. The team ended the match with 65% possession, suggesting a dominant presence.

Player Performances:

• Salomón Rondón: Although he has only registered one assist so far, his role in the attacks is crucial. With 4.34 shots and 1.08 shots on target per 90 minutes, he is actively involved in the offense.
• Darwin Machís: One goal and one assist, with 6 shots per 90 minutes, show he is a threat to the goal.
• Jhonder Cádiz: With one goal and 2 shots per 90 minutes, he is also a potential threat.

On the defensive line:

• Yordan Osorio and Nahuel Ferraresi have been solid. Osorio has a passing accuracy of 91.7%, while Ferraresi has 90.3%, aiding in ball distribution and defense.

Statistical Analysis of Mexico:

Mexico’s performance has shown mixed results. They lost their first matches against Uruguay and Brazil but managed to beat Jamaica 1-0 in their first Copa América match. In this match, they generated 1.0 xG while conceding only 0.5 xG, indicating tight but successful defense.

Player Performances:

• Gerardo Arteaga: As a defender, he scored a goal and contributed to the attacks with 93.2% passing accuracy.
• Julián Quiñones: One goal and 4 shots per 90 minutes make him a key player in the attacks.
• Luis Romo: One assist and 2.95 shots per 90 minutes, actively involved as an attacking midfielder.

In defense:

• Johan Vásquez and César Montes: Both provide stable defensive performances, with high passing accuracy and several successful tackles.

Risk Analysis and Tips:

Low-Risk Tips:

1. Venezuela to win more than 3.5 corners – With 65% possession in previous matches, Venezuela’s frequent attacks could lead to corners.
   • Risk Level: Low
2. More than 3.5 yellow cards in the match – Mexico’s defense may be under heavy pressure from Rondón and Machís, increasing the likelihood of yellow cards.
   • Risk Level: Low

Medium-Risk Tips:

1. Salomón Rondón to score or assist – Based on Rondón’s attacking stats, there is a high chance he will directly contribute to a goal.
   • Risk Level: Medium

Both Teams’ Motivation:

Based on the analysis, a win is crucial for both teams to advance. Venezuela’s previous victory provides momentum, while Mexico needs a win to avoid elimination from the group stage.

Summary:

The match between Venezuela and Mexico promises to be a balanced contest, with Venezuela appearing slightly more favorable based on statistics and player form. The above tips are low and medium-risk, considering both teams’ current form and motivation.