Slovakia – Ukraine

European Championship, June 21, 2024

In this analysis, I will examine statistical data and analytical articles to provide a comprehensive picture of the expected outcome of the match and the safest betting options. I primarily rely on statistics but also consider analysts’ opinions that can give context to the numerical data.

Statistical Analysis:

Slovakia:

• Goalscoring: Dávid Hancko, Juraj Kucka, and Lukáš Haraslín have been the most productive players for Slovakia. Hancko and Kucka have both scored 2-3 goals in the last 10 matches.
• Assists: Hancko and Haraslín have each recorded 2 assists.
• Defense: Martin Dúbravka has conceded 7 goals in 12 matches, which means an average of 0.7 goals per match. Milan Škriniar and Peter Pekarík have also performed solidly in defense, playing significant roles.
• Player Form: Juraj Kucka and Milan Škriniar consistently perform at a high level and will be key players in the match.

Ukraine:

• Goalscoring: Artem Dovbyk and Viktor Tsyhankov are the top scorers, each with 4 goals.
• Assists: Heorhiy Sudakov and Mykhailo Mudryk are the main assist providers, each with 2 assists.
• Defense: Anatolii Trubin has conceded 5 goals in 7 matches, averaging 0.83 goals per match. Illia Zabarnyi and Mykola Matviyenko also play crucial defensive roles.
• Player Form: Mykhailo Mudryk and Heorhiy Sudakov’s form will be critical for the attacking play, while Anatolii Trubin’s saves could be decisive.

Key Insights from Analytical Articles:

• Motivation: This match is crucial for both teams in terms of advancing, especially for Ukraine, which suffered a defeat against Romania in the previous match.
• Playing Style: Slovakia prefers a defensive style, while Ukraine plays a fast and attacking game.
• Injuries: Analysts highlight that several key Slovakian players are dealing with minor injuries, which could affect their performance.

Betting Tips Analysis:

Low-Risk Betting Tips:

1. Total Goals Under 3.5 (Low Risk), Under 2.5 (Medium Risk)
   • Based on the statistics and defensive performances, few goals are expected in the match.
2. Slovakia to Keep a Clean Sheet in the First Half (Low Risk)
   • Slovakia has a strong defense and will likely start the match cautiously.
3. Ukraine Over 4 Corners (Low Risk)
   • Due to Ukraine’s attacking style and Mudryk’s activity, they are expected to earn several corners.

Medium-Risk Betting Tips:

1. Draw at Half-Time (Medium Risk)
   • Both teams will be cautious in the first half to avoid conceding early goals.
2. Slovakia Over 2 Yellow Cards (Medium Risk)
   • Given the stakes and defensive style, Slovakia is likely to commit more fouls.

Detailed Analysis:

• Total Goals Under 2.5: Both teams have strong defenses and rarely play high-scoring matches. The statistics support that few goals are expected.
• Slovakia to Keep a Clean Sheet in the First Half: Given Slovakia’s defensive stability and Dúbravka’s good form, it is unlikely Ukraine will score early.
• Ukraine Over 4 Corners: Ukraine’s fast attacking play and Mudryk’s activity often result in several corners. Statistics also show they have many corners per match.

In summary, the safest betting tips focus on few goals, Slovakia’s defense, and Ukraine’s corners. These betting options are low-risk and well-supported by the statistics.