Scotland – Switzerland

European Championship, June 19, 2024, 21:00 (CET)

Analysis: Scotland vs. Switzerland EC Match

Based on statistical data and human expert analysis, I will examine the European Championship match between Scotland and Switzerland in detail. By analyzing both teams’ statistical indicators and expected starting lineups, I will assess strengths, weaknesses, and potential trends.

Statistical Analysis

Scotland:

• Player Performance: Scott McTominay delivered an outstanding performance during the qualifiers, scoring 7 goals in 11 matches, highlighting his offensive prowess. John McGinn also plays a crucial role in midfield, both offensively and defensively. Andrew Robertson’s defensive work and involvement in attacks (4 assists) are also notable.
• Expected Goals (xG): Based on their 2024 performance, Scotland’s xG has been quite variable. In their recent match against Germany, they lost 1-5, with an xG of 0.0, indicating very low offensive activity.
• Player Statistics: McTominay and McGinn significantly contributed to goals and assists, while Andrew Robertson and Ryan Porteous performed well defensively.

Switzerland:

• Player Performance: Zeki Amdouni stood out in the Swiss attack with 7 goals. Xherdan Shaqiri also played a significant role in the attacks with 7 goal+assist combinations. Ruben Vargas is another key attacking player with 3 goals and 3 assists.
• Expected Goals (xG): Switzerland’s xG is stable, producing 2.3 xG in their recent match against Hungary, indicating strong offensive play.
• Player Statistics: Granit Xhaka and Manuel Akanji are crucial for their defensive work. Xhaka consistently defends and actively participates in attacks, while Akanji’s defense and passing accuracy are outstanding.

Expert Analysis

According to human experts, both teams are motivated for the match. For Scotland, a victory is crucial to advance from the group. Switzerland is also highly motivated, aiming to secure the top spot in the group.

Recommendations for Bettors

1. Low-Risk Tip: Switzerland scores more than 1.5 goals (Low risk)
   • Analysis: Switzerland’s offensive play is strong, led by Zeki Amdouni and Shaqiri. Their xG indicators are stable, and they have scored multiple goals in recent matches.
2. Low-Risk Tip: Switzerland wins or draws (Low risk)
   • Analysis: Based on Switzerland’s current form and statistics, a win or draw is more likely. The team has shown strong and stable performance during the qualifiers.
3. Switzerland secures more than 4.5 corners – (Low risk)
   • Analysis: Switzerland’s attacking style often leads to corners, supported by statistics showing they regularly secure a high number of corners in previous matches.
4. Medium-Risk Tip: Both teams score (Medium risk)
   • Analysis: Scotland can also score goals, especially through McTominay and McGinn. With Switzerland’s strong attack, it’s likely both teams will score.

Key Players and Injuries

Considering the expected starting lineups and current injuries:

• Scotland: Andrew Robertson and Scott McTominay play critical roles in both attack and defense. Injuries could weaken the team’s defense.
• Switzerland: Xherdan Shaqiri and Zeki Amdouni are key players in the attack. Granit Xhaka’s presence in midfield and defense is also vital.

Motivation and Team Dynamics

Experts emphasized that this match is critical for Scotland to advance, providing extra motivation for the players. Switzerland is in a more stable position but is fighting for the top spot in the group, which also ensures high motivation.

Summary

Based on statistical data and expert analysis, the following three betting tips appear to be the safest:

1. Switzerland scores more than 1.5 goals (Low risk)
2. Switzerland wins or draws (Low risk)
3. Switzerland secures more than 4.5 corners (Low risk)
4. Both teams score (Medium risk)

These tips are the most likely based on statistical trends and the current form of the teams.