European Championship, June 19, 2024, 15:00 (CET)
In analyzing the match, I thoroughly examined the statistics and expert analysis. Below is a summary of the key findings and suggestions that may be low or medium risk for fans.
General Analysis
Croatia’s Statistics and Performance:
- Offense and Goals:
- Croatia has had mixed results in their matches so far. Key players include Andrej Kramarić, who scored 4 goals in 9 matches, and Lovro Majer, who scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 10 matches. Kramarić’s goal-scoring form is noteworthy, especially in bigger games.
- According to xG (expected goals) statistics, Croatia generally creates more goal-scoring opportunities than they convert.
- Defense and Goalkeeper Performance:
- Dominik Livaković has shown stable performance in goal, conceding 7 goals in 11 matches and keeping a clean sheet in 6 of them. Joško Gvardiol and Josip Šutalo play crucial roles in defense.
Albania’s Statistics and Performance:
- Offense and Goals:
- Albania’s main scorer is Nedim Bajrami, with 5 goals and 3 assists in 13 matches. Jasir Asani also stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists. Albania’s attack is relatively balanced but often scores fewer goals than expected based on xG.
- Albania typically misses more scoring opportunities compared to Croatia.
- Defense and Goalkeeper Performance:
- Thomas Strakosha and Etrit Berisha have shared goalkeeping duties, both performing steadily. Strakosha conceded 3 goals in 7 matches, while Berisha conceded 3 goals in 6 matches. Berat Djimsiti and Elseid Hysaj are notable in defense.
Team Motivation and Expert Insights
Experts emphasize that this match is crucial for both teams for advancing. Croatia needs a win to stay at the top of the group, while Albania needs to score to keep their chances alive.
Suggestions for Fans
Low-Risk Suggestions:
- Croatia to win or draw (low risk): Based on the statistics, Croatia has stronger offense and defense, and is in better form.
- Andrej Kramarić to score (low risk): Kramarić is one of Croatia’s most reliable scorers and is in good form.
Medium-Risk Suggestions:
- Both teams to score (medium risk): Albania can also score, especially through Nedim Bajrami and Jasir Asani, while Croatia’s offense is strong.
- Total match goals over 2.5 (medium risk): Based on the teams’ attacking statistics, multiple goals are expected.
Summary
Based on statistical data and expert analysis, Croatia is more likely to win due to their strong offense and solid defense. Andrej Kramarić and Lovro Majer could be key players in Croatia’s attacks, while Nedim Bajrami and Jasir Asani pose the biggest threat for Albania. Both teams are likely to score, and more than 2.5 goals are expected in the match.