European Championship, June 15, 2024, 21:00 (CET)
Analyzing the Italy vs. Albania European Championship match involves considering various factors, including statistical data, expert opinions, and the expected weather conditions. Let’s delve into what we can expect from the match and what low-risk betting tips can be recommended.
Statistical Data and Expert Analysis
Italy’s Statistics
The Italian national team is currently in good form, being unbeaten in six matches, with four wins and two draws. Their defense is particularly strong, having not conceded a goal in the last 317 minutes. Gianluigi Donnarumma has achieved a save percentage of 68.2% over 10 matches, providing a solid foundation for the team.
Among the attackers, Mateo Retegui stands out, scoring 4 goals in 7 matches, averaging 1.03 goals per match. Federico Chiesa is also in good form, with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches.
Albania’s Statistics
The Albanian national team also showed strong form during the qualifiers, winning their group. Their defense is robust, with Etrit Berisha achieving an 85% save percentage over 6 matches. In attack, Nedim Bajrami and Jasir Asani have both scored 4 goals in 12 matches.
Injuries and Expected Lineups
Italy will be without several key players, including Francesco Acerbi, Giorgio Scalvini, Nicolo Zaniolo, and Domenico Berardi. However, Nicolo Barella and Davide Frattesi are fit to play, which strengthens the midfield and attack.
In Albania’s starting lineup, Berat Djimsiti is expected to be a key defender, while Armando Broja and Sokol Cikalleshi are crucial in the attack.
Weather Conditions
The weather forecast for the match is favorable: 16°C temperature, clear skies, and light winds of 8-16 km/h. These ideal conditions benefit technical players and offensive football.
Low and Medium Risk Betting Tips
Low-Risk Tips
- Italy to win: Italy’s strong defense and good form, coupled with Albania’s historical statistics and expected lineups, make Italy the more likely winner. (Low risk)
- Italy has won all previous matches against Albania, and their current form is convincing.
- Under 3.5 goals: Given Italy’s strong defense and Albania’s relative attacking difficulties, few goals are expected. (Low risk)
- Italy has conceded only 6 goals in their last 12 European Championship matches, highlighting their defensive strength.
Summary
Based on the analysis, the following betting tips are recommended with low or medium risk:
- Italy to win (Low risk)
- Under 3.5 goals (Low risk)
Considering the statistics and form of the teams, these tips seem well-founded based on the available data and expert opinions.