Czech Republic – North Macedonia

10/06/2024

Detailed analysis

With a combined assessment of the statistics and analysis from human experts of the friendly match between the Czech Republic and Northern Macedonia, I present the key points and trends below. Due to the nature of friendly matches, the motivations and tactical approaches may be different to those in a match for the stakes.

Statistical Data

Czech Republic

• Goalscorers and performances: the Czech Republic have been outstanding in recent matches, especially in their recent 7-1 win over Malta. Tomáš Souček, Antonín Barák and Václav Černý were key players, scoring and assisting more goals overall.
• Defence and Goalkeeping: goalkeepers Jiří Pavlenka and Jindřich Staněk were solid, both going several games without conceding a goal.
• Player mobility and tactical adaptability: the Czech Republic have used several formations in recent matches, often switching between 3-4-1-2 and 4-2-3-1, which shows flexibility on the part of the team.

North Macedonia

• Goal scorers and performances: Elif Elmas and Enis Bardhi were the most active in attack, although the team scored fewer goals overall. Elmas scored 3 goals and Bardhi added 3 goals and 3 assists.
• Defence and Goalkeeping: Goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski had a mixed performance, as he conceded 20 goals in 10 games, which translates to 2.86 goals conceded per game.
• Player agility and tactical adaptation: North Macedonia mostly uses a 3-4-1-2 formation, but the defensive stability of the team is questionable, especially against higher level opponents.

Expert Analysis

According to the experts, the Czech Republic are in good form and have strong motivation for the upcoming European Championship. Northern Macedonia, on the other hand, have not qualified for the European Championships, so this friendly is more of a preparation for the upcoming season.

Czech Republic:

• The strength of the team is in the attacking midfield and striker positions, especially with Patrik Schick and Adam Hložek.
• Their defence is also strong, as shown by the few goals they have conceded.
• Their motivation is high as they prepare for the European Championship.

Northern Macedonia:

• The team’s performance is inconsistent and they often score a lot of goals.
• Their main strengths include Elif Elmas and Enis Bardhi, who are capable of surprising the opposition.
• Their motivation is lower because there is no immediate stakes in the match.

My tips with Risk Assessment

Low Risk

1. Czech Republic to win: given the current form and motivation of the Czech team, they are likely to win the match. Low risk.
2. More than 1.5 goals in the match: based on the strength of the Czech attacking line, they are likely to score more than one goal. Low risk.

Medium Risk

1. Patrik Schick scores: Schick is in excellent form and is likely to score. Medium risk (If Schick does not play, this bet will return).
2. First half result: Czech Republic in the lead: the Czech team’s fast starts and strong attacking play will likely see them take the lead in the first half. Medium risk.

Detailed Evaluation

• Player comparison: Czech players like Souček and Barák have been outstanding in recent matches. However, the defence in northern Macedonia is weaker, as shown by the high number of goals scored.
• Motivation: for the Czech Republic this match is important for their preparation, while for Northern Macedonia the stakes are lower.
• Tactical analysis: the Czech Republic use a variety of formations, which makes them more flexible. Northern Macedonia, on the other hand, play less varied tactics, which could be a disadvantage.

Overall, based on statistics and analysis, the Czech Republic are the clear favourites. The safest betting tips are for a win for the Czech Republic, with more than 1.5 goals scored in the match. These picks are considered low risk based on a combination of statistics and expert analysis.