Italy – Bosnia H’vina

09/06/2024

Statistical and Expert Analysis

Based on the statistical and expert analysis of the friendly match between Italy and Bosnia and Herzegovina, the following findings and tips have been made.

Italy Statistical Analysis

The Italian team has shown solid form in recent times under Spalletti, who succeeded Mancini and started the campaign with five wins and three draws. They have been dominant in friendlies against South American opponents in the first half of the year, as well as in the draw with Turkey.

Players and Statistics:

• Gianluigi Donnarumma: The goalkeeper has played an important role in the stability of the defence, averaging 1.13 goals scored per game in nine matches.
• Giovanni Di Lorenzo: The defender is active in attack as well as defence, with one assist in eight games.
• Nicolò Barella: An outstanding midfielder who contributed three assists and a goal in nine matches.
• Mateo Retegui: The striker has scored four goals in six games, which shows his goalscoring prowess.
• Federico Chiesa: He has scored two goals in four games, which shows that he is dangerous in goal.

Team Performance:
Italy have yet to lose a match in 2024, and although their recent draw against Turkey did not produce a win, their performance in their subsequent internal preparation match is a cause for optimism. The Italians clearly look the stronger team at the moment, especially at home.

Bosnia and Herzegovina Statistical Analysis

Bosnia and Herzegovina’s current form is less convincing. They have lost their last five matches in a row and, although some of their players are performing outstandingly at club level, they are less effective at national team level.

Players and Statistics:

• Ibrahim Šehić: The goalkeeper has 1.82 goals scored per game in nine matches.
• Ermedin Demirović: The striker is outstanding at club level, but has only scored one goal in 25 games at national team level.
• Edin Džeko: The team’s biggest star, but he has only scored one goal in the last eight games.

Team Performance:
Bosnia and Herzegovina’s defence is weak, they have conceded 16 goals in their last five games and have failed to score once in the match. They are also not very dangerous in attack, with no shots on goal in their last match against England.

Tip for the Match

Based on statistical data and expert analysis, there are three safe bets for the match:

1. Italy win (Low Risk):

• Rating: based on Italy’s current form and performance on home soil, it is considered low risk. Under Spalletti’s leadership, the team is playing with confidence, while Bosnia and Herzegovina are coming off a run of defeats.
• Analysis: Italy are the stronger team in terms of defence and attack and will be motivated to finish their preparations for the European Championship with a win at home.

1. Both teams do not score (Low Risk):

• Rating: Bosnia and Herzegovina’s attack is weak, while the Italian defence is strong. Based on the statistics of the last matches, it is likely that Bosnia will not score.
• Analysis: Bosnia and Herzegovina have scored just two goals in their last five matches, while Italy have gone three games without a goal with Donnarumma in goal.

1. Italy scores more than 1.5 goals (Medium Risk):

• Rating: Although Italy have not scored many goals in their last matches, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s defence is extremely weak. We expect at least two goals from the Italians.
• Analysis: Bosnia have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches, and Italy’s attacking potential suggests they could continue this trend.

Conclusion

Based on the analysis, Italy to win, both teams not to score and Italy to score more than 1.5 goals seem to be the safest bets. Given the current form of the Italian team and the weaknesses of the Bosnian defence, these picks are low to medium risk and offer a good opportunity for bettors.