Portugal – Finland

04/06/2024, friendly match

In-depth analysis of Portugal vs Finland friendly match

The friendly between Portugal and Finland will take place on 4 June 2024, with Portugal preparing for the European Championship and Finland competing in the Nations League in September. The importance of the match is that it gives both teams the opportunity to experiment and give players a chance to prove themselves. The analysis is based on statistical data and the opinions of human experts.

Statistical analysis of Portugal:

1. Scorers and their form:

• Cristiano Ronaldo: 10 goals and 1 assist in 10 games. Ronaldo remains a dominant player, leading the attack.
• Bruno Fernandes: 7 goals and 9 assists in 11 games. Creative midfielder who creates significant goal-scoring opportunities.
• Diogo Jota and Rafael Leão: Both players have 4-4 goals and several assists, showing that they are effective in helping the attack.

1. Defence stability:

• The experience ofRúben Dias and Pepe in defence is key, especially in a friendly match where defensive consistency is essential.
• Diogo Costa: 2 goals in 8 games, which shows outstanding defending.

Statistical analysis of Finland:

1. Scorers and their form:

• Teemu Pukki: 3 goals and 5 assists in 12 games. Experienced striker who can take advantage of opportunities.
• Joel Pohjanpalo: 2 goals and 1 assist in 12 games. Also an important player in attack.

1. Protective performance:

• Lukáš Hrádecký: 13 goals scored in 10 games, which is not a very positive indicator, but his experience could be key.
• Robert Ivanov and Nikolai Alho: Both players are solid defensively, but there is room for improvement in the team’s defence.

Summary and recommendations for recipients:

1. Cristiano Ronaldo scores a goal (risk: low):

• Given Ronaldo’s form and goal-scoring ability, he is likely to score in the match. Moreover, it will be his 207th national team match, which could be an additional motivation for him.
• According to the experts, Ronaldo is expected to start, which will further increase his chances of scoring.

1. Portugal to win (risk: low):

• Portugal are in excellent form, winning five of their last six matches. Although Finland are also showing improving form, Portugal are more likely to win at home.
• Experts believe they will start with a strong starting line-up, which will boost their chances.

1. More than 1.5 goals in the match – Low risk,
   More than 2.5 goals per match – Medium risk:

• Analysis: Portugal’s attacking line is very effective, while Finland can also score goals. Friendly matches are often high-scoring, especially when teams with a strong attacking line-up play.
• Risk: Low to Medium

Interesting facts and further observations:

• Motivation and experimentation: for Portugal, this match is part of their preparation for the European Championship, so they will probably experiment with line-ups and tactics. For Finland, it is less of a gamble, but it will give them a chance to try out players ahead of the Nations League.
• Previous meetings: Finland have been able to surprise Portugal before, although they have lost their last two meetings.

So, based on the analysis, the low-risk bet for bettors is Cristiano Ronaldo scoring, while the medium-risk bets are Portugal winning and both teams scoring.