01/06/2024, Champions League Final
The Champions League final is an extremely balanced match, where the differences between the teams can only be subtle. Each of the last four finals has been decided by a single goal, so betting caution is advised.
Statistical analysis of teams
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund have been outstanding in the Champions League in the 2023-2024 season. In 28 matches, the team scored a total of 17 goals and provided 14 assists, which means a total of 31 direct contributions in goals. Among the team’s main strikers, Niclas Füllkrug, who scored 3 goals and assisted 2 goals in 10.5 matches, and Julian Brandt, who scored 2 goals and assisted 2 goals in 7.8 matches, stand out.
In defence, Mats Hummels leads the team with 1 goal and 1 assist in 12 games, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel has 8 goals in 11 games and a save efficiency of 85.7%. The defence is strong but sometimes prone to mistakes, as the number of goals scored shows.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid have been dominant in both La Liga and the Champions League. In 38 matches, the team scored 85 goals and provided 66 assists. The forward line is led by Jude Bellingham, who has scored 19 goals and provided 6 assists in 25.7 games. Vinicius Júnior was also outstanding with 15 goals and 5 assists in 20.7 games.
In defence, Antonio Rüdiger and Dani Carvajal play key roles, while in goal Andriy Lunin has 17 goals in 21 games and a 75.4% save efficiency. The defence is solid but sometimes vulnerable to quick attacks.
Player comparison and tactical analysis
Attack
Among Dortmund’s main strikers, Niclas Füllkrug and Julian Brandt are prominent. Brandt’s creativity and Füllkrug’s finishing ability will be key. On Real Madrid’s side, the pace and technical ability of Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Júnior will pose a serious threat to Dortmund’s defence.
Protection
Mats Hummels’ experience and Gregor Kobel’s defending could provide stability for Dortmund. In Real Madrid’s defence, the physical presence of Antonio Rüdiger and the supporting role of Dani Carvajal will be important.
Betting tips and analysis
- Less than 3.5 goals (low risk)
- In each of the last four Champions League finals, less than 3.5 goals have been scored. Given the strong defence of the teams and the importance of the final, it is likely that there will be few goals scored in this match. Both Dortmund and Real Madrid may prefer to play safe at the start to avoid an early deficit.
- Draw at half time (medium risk!)
- The finals often start cautiously, with both teams trying to gauge the strength of their opponents and avoid an early deficit. A first half draw is likely as both teams start defensively.
Concluding thoughts
The Champions League final is always a special match, where teams come to the pitch with maximum concentration and tactical preparation. Dortmund and Real Madrid are both strong teams and both sides have a number of outstanding players. Based on the above, the betting tips mentioned above may be the safer bets to choose, considering the statistics and form of both teams. However, the outcome of the match is difficult to predict, so caution is advised in all bets.