28/05/2024 midnight (Central European Time)
The clash between Atlético Mineiro and Caracas in the Copa Libertadores group stage promises to be an interesting and important match in more ways than one. Below we analyse the statistics and expert analysis in detail to understand the highlights and trends of the match.
Atlético Mineiro Statistics Data
- Formal indicators: the performance of Atlético Mineiro so far in the Copa Libertadores group stage has been good, with several victories, including a 4-1 win over Caracas.
- Goals and assists: Paulinho and Gustavo Scarpa stand out in the team, the former with 7 goals and 2 assists, while the latter has 5 goals and 2 assists.
- Defence: The stability of the defence is also boosted by the performance of goalkeeper Everson, who has conceded just 9 goals in 10 games.
- Attacking efficiency: Paulinho and Hulk play an important role in the attack, both with high xG (expected goals), which shows their attacking potential.
Caracas Statistics Data
- Formal indicators: Caracas’ performance in the Copa Libertadores group stage has been poor so far, with several defeats, including a 4-1 loss to Atlético Mineiro.
- Goals and assists: Danny Pérez and Edwuin Pernía are the players who have been effective so far, both with 1-1 goals and assists.
- Defence: goalkeeper Wuilker Faríñez has been outstanding, but the statistics so far show that the defence has not been effective enough, with Faríñez conceding 14 goals in 4 games.
- Offensive efficiency: Edwuin Pernía and Danny Pérez represent the team’s attacking strength, but low xG and few goals scored show a poor attacking game.
Expert Analysis
According to the experts’ analysis, Atlético Mineiro are the favourites. After a confident win in the previous meeting, they are in good form and have home advantage. Caracas, on the other hand, are struggling, especially defensively, which has been reflected in the number of goals they have conceded.
My tips for bettors
Tip 1: Atlético Mineiro win (Low risk)
- Atlético Mineiro are the clear favourites based on their current form, attacking and defensive statistics.
- Caracas’s weak defences and low xG values further reinforce this prediction.
Tip 2: Paulinho scores (Medium risk)
- Paulinho’s 7 goals and 5.3 xG show that he can score goals consistently.
- Caracas’ defence has so far failed to stop the dangerous attackers.
Tip 3: More than 2.5 goals in the match (Medium risk)
- The attacking power of Atlético Mineiro and the weak defence of Caracas will probably result in more goals.
- In the previous match 5 goals were scored, which also supports this tip.
Detailed Evaluation
Atlético Mineiro
- Players’ performances: Paulinho and Scarpa are in outstanding form, Hulk is also an important player in the team.
- Tactical formation: the team often uses a 4-2-3-1 and 3-4-3 formation, which gives flexibility in attack and defence.
- Motivation: a win is important for Atlético Mineiro to further strengthen their position in the group.
Caracas
- Players’ performance: Danny Pérez and Edwuin Pernía are the key players in the attack, but their performance is not enough to make the team successful.
- Defence: The weaknesses of the defence and the many goals scored by goalkeeper Faríñez make it a challenge.
- Motivation: it would be important for Caracas to get a point to improve their chances of progressing, but the statistics suggest it will be a difficult task.
To sum up, Atlético Mineiro are the favourites, and based on the statistics we can expect more goals from them. Caracas’ weak defense and low offensive efficiency put them in a difficult position, especially away from home.