09/05/2024
To analyse the Atalanta and Marseille teams, we first need to consider the basic statistics and the current form of the teams, as well as an analysis of injuries and expected starting line-ups based on the analysis of the “experts”.
Evaluation of basic statistics
Atalanta are in very strong form at the moment, especially at home. In the Europa League series, the average number of goals per game is 1.73, which is significantly higher than their opponents (0.73). Gianluca Scamacca is particularly notable, with 6 goals and a 3.4 xG (expected goals), which is the highest for the team. The team’s defence is also solid, averaging only 0.73 goals per game, and the goalkeepers, especially Juan Musso, have a high save efficiency of 82.8%.
Marseille seem to be more balanced in attack and defence, scoring 1.95 goals and conceding 1.42 on average per game in the Europa League. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang stands out from the team with 10 goals and a 5.9 xG, suggesting he is effective in taking advantage of his situations. However, the team’s defensive statistics are a cause for concern, especially the 1.46 goals against average and the goalkeepers’ lower save efficiency of 70.4%.
Form and Style of Play
Atalanta have an aggressive attacking game, as evidenced by their xG figures, and have been able to win big, especially at home. Marseille, on the other hand, struggled to find consistency and although they were able to score a lot of goals, their defensive problems often came to the fore, especially in the tougher matches.
Key Players and Injuries
Key players from both teams could play a crucial role. Scamacca and Musso for Atalanta, while Aubameyang and Amine Harit stand out for Marseille. Injuries and suspensions could also affect the outcome of the match, so it is important to keep an eye on the starting line-ups and substitutions.
Analysis and Tips
According to the statistics and the analysis of the “experts”, Atalanta have home advantage and will probably be able to take advantage of Marseille’s defensive weaknesses to win. I suggest the following picks:
- Number of goals – More than 1.5 goals: With both teams’ strong attacking ability and Marseille’s defensive problems, expect more goals to be scored (Low risk).
- Atalanta win or draw: Given Atalanta’s strong home form and Marseille’s defensive vulnerability, Atalanta should be able to win, but a draw is also possible given the size of the stakes (Low risk)
- Atalanta win: Given Atalanta’s strong home form and Marseille’s defensive vulnerability, Atalanta should be able to win. (Medium risk).
- Goalscorer at any time – Gianluca Scamacca: Given Scamacca’s current form and xG values, there is a good chance he will score in this match (Medium risk).