09/05/2024
Based on the statistical analysis of Leverkusen and Roma, as well as analyses by European experts, there are several low-risk picks for the upcoming match.
Analysis:
- Number of goals (over/under):
- Leverkusen have scored an average of 2.55 goals per game in the Europa League, while Roma have scored 1.50 goals per game. In terms of goals conceded, Leverkusen have scored 0.73 goals on average, while Roma have scored 0.75. These figures suggest that both teams should be able to score goals in the match, but the tight defending could keep the number of goals low.
- Tip: 3.5 goals under – Low risk
- Asian Hendikep:
- Leverkusen are playing at home, where they have excelled in their Europa League matches so far. Given that Roma are less efficient away from home, the home team has the advantage.
- Tip: Leverkusen -0.5 – Low risk
- European Hendikep:
- Considering that Leverkusen have won several games with a high goal difference and Roma’s defensive statistics are not the best (0.75 goals scored per game on average in the Europa League), a handicap for the home side could be a realistic option.
- Tip: Leverkusen -1 – Medium risk!
- Yellow Pages Number:
- Both Leverkusen and Roma are playing aggressive games, which could result in yellow card-laden matches. This trend is backed up by the statistics, as both teams have produced high average number of cards during the series.
- Tip: More than 3.5 yellow cards – Low risk
Player performance and their expected impact on the match:
- Florian Wirtz (Leverkusen) was outstanding, scoring and assisting in several games. His play could be crucial.
- Romelu Lukaku (Roma) is also outstanding, scoring 7 goals in the series. They are the driving force behind their team’s attacking play and could be a decisive factor in the outcome of the match.
Interesting facts from expert analysis:
- The analysts highlighted Leverkusen’s home performance, where they are unbeaten in the Europa League, while Roma’s away weakness was highlighted, which is backed up by statistics. This type of information reinforces the validity of the above picks.
Summary:
Based on Leverkusen’s stronger home form and Roma’s defensive deficiencies, the recommended picks include less than 3.5 goals in the match, Leverkusen winning the Asian handicap and the number of yellow cards going over the 3.5 mark. These tips seem low risk given the teams’ performances and statistics in the Europa League so far. However, please note that semi-final/final bets should be placed with caution, as the outcome can often depend on the slightest differences in form between the teams on the day.